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Gold struggles to stretch higher above $1,500 on renewed trade optimism

  • Trump says they have a good chance of making a deal with China.
  • US Dollar Index remains on track to finish the week below 99.
  • Wall Street's main indexes post strong gains on Friday.

After spending the majority of the day moving sideways in a tight channel above the $1,500 mark on Friday, the XAU/USD pair fluctuated sharply during the early trading hours as markets reacted to the labour market data from the United States (US).

Following a spike to a daily high of $1514, the pair dropped all the way down to $1,495 before staging a modest recovery. As of writing, the pair was trading at $1,503, losing nearly $2 on a daily basis. On the weekly chart, the pair remains on track to close in the positive territory.

Earlier today, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that nonfarm payrolls (NFP) rose 136,000 in September to miss the analysts' estimate for an increase of 145,000. However, the unemployment rate dropped to its lowest level in nearly 50 years at 3.5% and allowed the Greenback to limits its losses. In fact, the US Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar's value against a basket of six major currencies, was last flat on the day at 98.90.

Risk-on flows return on latest trade headlines

On the other hand, heightened hopes of the US and China making progress in next week's trade talks made it difficult for traditional safe-haven assets to find demand in the second half of the day on Friday.

US President Donald Trump said that he saw a "very good chance" of a trade deal with China and White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said that there could be some positive surprises coming out of next week's negotiations. Reflecting the upbeat sentiment, Wall Street's main indexes opened in the positive territory and continue to push higher with both the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 adding around 1% on the day.

Technical levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1503.47
Today Daily Change-1.67
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1505.14
 
Trends
Daily SMA201500.11
Daily SMA501498.34
Daily SMA1001431.31
Daily SMA2001364.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1519.04
Previous Daily Low1496.14
Previous Weekly High1535.42
Previous Weekly Low1487.2
Previous Monthly High1557.03
Previous Monthly Low1464.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1510.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1504.89
Daily Pivot Point S11494.51
Daily Pivot Point S21483.88
Daily Pivot Point S31471.61
Daily Pivot Point R11517.41
Daily Pivot Point R21529.68
Daily Pivot Point R31540.31

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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