|

Gold sell-off pauses as US dollar retreats from two-month high

  • Dollar's retreat from two-month highs puts brakes on gold sell-off. 
  • Gold's daily chart shows the market has turned indecisive. 
  • Risks, however, remain skewed in favor of deeper losses. 

Gold bears are taking a hiatus amid the US dollar's pullback from two-month highs. 

Indecisive market

The yellow metal witnessed two-way business and closed on a flat note on Thursday, forming a Doji candle – an indecision sign. 

The selling ran out of steam at $1,848 as the uptrend in the dollar index (DXY) paused at 94.59, the highest level since July 24. The DXY closed Thursday at 94.33 and remains sidelined near that level at press time. 

Meanwhile, gold is currently trading near $1,863 per ounce, having ended Thursday at $1,867.

Downside risks persist

While the dollar index has pulled back from multi-week highs in the last 12 hours or so, the upside breakout from the two-month trading range of 92.00-94.00 confirmed earlier this week is still valid. 

Besides, disappointment that Federal Reserve's recent decision to adopt average inflation targeting did not translate into more stimulus, renewed coronavirus fears, and growth concerns could continue to push the dollar higher in the run-up to the US elections. 

As such, the path of least resistance for gold appears to be on the downside. 

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1863.72
Today Daily Change-3.98
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1867.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA201935.48
Daily SMA501941.54
Daily SMA1001843.82
Daily SMA2001722.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1877.12
Previous Daily Low1848.84
Previous Weekly High1973.64
Previous Weekly Low1932.88
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1866.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1859.64
Daily Pivot Point S11851.99
Daily Pivot Point S21836.27
Daily Pivot Point S31823.71
Daily Pivot Point R11880.27
Daily Pivot Point R21892.83
Daily Pivot Point R31908.55

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.