|

Gold price rally has revived demand for call options, risk reversals show

  • Gold's risk reversals are rising along with the price. 
  • Investors are adding bets to position for gains in the yellow metal.

Gold's recent rally has bolstered bullish expectations and revived demand for call options, which gives the holder a right but not the obligation to buy the yellow metal at an agreed price on or before a particular date. 

The yellow metal broke out of a contracting triangle last week, resuming the rally from November lows near $1,475 and rose to a seven-year high of $1,681 in the early Asian session on Monday. At press time, gold is trading at $1,660 per Oz, representing a 6.27% gain on the low of $1,562 observed on Feb. 12. 

The surge is accompanied by an uptick in one-month risk reversal, a gauge of calls to puts, which bottomed out at 0.85 on Feb. 12 and has risen in a near 90-degree manner to 2.30 - a sign of increased demand or implied volatility premium for call options. 

The current value represents the strongest bullish bias since Jan.8. The 2020 high of 3.10 was reached on  Jan. 6.

XAU1MRR

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200 after hot Chinese CPI data

AUD/USD is extending its consolidative price action above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Wednesday, uninspired by hot Chinese CPI and PPI data. Meanwhile, rising RBA rate-hike bets act as a tailwind for the Aussie amid Yen-inspired US Dollar weakness. Traders await the release of US inflation figures later in the week for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY: Bearish impulse falters around 153.00

USD/JPY remains under pressure, down for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, and trading in levels last seen in mid-February near 153.00. Solid Japanese data earlier in the day seem to have reinforced expectations that the BoJ will continue normalising monetary policy, lending further support to the Yen.

Gold regains balance above $4,400

Gold rebounds on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak and reclaiming the are beyond the key $4,400 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s bounce comes amid further selling pressure on the US Dollar and steady uncertainty on the geopolitical front.

Pi Network's rebound holds as momentum improves

Pi Network (PI) extends its recovery on Wednesday, trading above $0.098 after finding support around the 50-day Exponential Moving Average earlier this week. The rebound comes as the Pi Core Team highlights the importance of strengthening its developer ecosystem to expand application-level utility across the network.

Oil, Apple and JPY in focus
Oil prices are rising on Wednesday as tit-for-tat strikes between Iran and the US threaten oil supplies as the two sides battle for control of the Strait of Hormuz. Stock futures have switched their attention from a strong earnings season to the challenges ahead, including a 10-year Treasury yield that is hovering close to the 4.8% level.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.