|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD stages a comeback, key levels to watch – Confluence Detector

  • Gold Price is heading back towards $1,900 amid mixed markets.
  • US dollar recovers ground but the correction doesn’t seem to be over yet.
  • XAUUSD’s path of least resistance appears to the upside, for now.

Gold Price is staging a solid comeback after finding strong support near the $1,840 region over the past two trading days. The bright metal is looking to retest the two-week highs on the road to recovery, as the US dollar is struggling to recover further ground amid mixed market sentiment and subdued Treasury yields. Dismal US GDP, Markit Manufacturing PMI and Pending Home Sales point to signs of US economic slowdown, cooling off the aggressive Fed tightening expectations and keeping the dollar broadly undermined. This week’s turnaround in global stocks is also weighing on the greenback’s safe-haven appeal, benefiting the USD-priced gold.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: Key $1,838 support could be at risk ahead of US GDP

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the Gold Price is fast approaching strong resistance at $1,863, as the renewed upside gathers steam.

That level is the convergence of the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day and the R2 daily pivot point.

The next significant upside barrier awaits at the confluence of the R3 daily pivot point, the R1 weekly pivot poi and the two-week highs at $1,870.

 The previous month’s low of $1,872 will be a tough nut to crack for gold bulls.

Alternatively, the immediate downside will be capped by $1,855, which is the meeting point of the 5-day SMA and the previous day’s high.

Failure to defend the latter will threaten the $1,850 demand area, where the previous week’s high and the daily 61.8% Fibonacci merge.

Gold sellers will then target the intersection of the 100-four-hour SMA, S1 monthly pivot point and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day at $1,847.

The last relevant support is pegged at the S1 daily pivot point at $1,844.

Here is how it looks on the tool

  
fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data. 

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

FX alert: When Energy still writes the macro script the Dollar holds the pen

The market is quietly sliding back into the trade nobody wanted to own, but everyone now has to respect again. The no quick off-ramp trade. Yesterday’s bounce in risk assets already looks less like a turning point and more like a classic relief rally in a market that briefly inhaled before realizing the room was still on fire.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.