|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD eyes $1,662 hurdle amid pre-NFP rebound – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price remains on the front foot, printing the biggest daily gains in two weeks.
  • Pre-NFP consolidation joins risk-positive headlines surrounding China to please XAUUSD bulls.
  • Bulls approach the key resistance but remain unsure of crossing it amid hawkish Fed bets.

Gold price stays bid while posting the biggest daily gain, so far, in a fortnight amid the market’s cautious optimism ahead of the key US jobs report. With Friday’s strong gains, the bullion price reversed from red to green every week.

That said, the XAUUSD bulls are hopeful amid the downbeat US inflation expectations and mixed US data that weigh on the greenback. Furthermore, expectations of easing covid-led activity restrictions in China and the news suggesting early closing of the US audit inspections in China also favored the risk-on mood of late.

However, the US Treasury yields remain strong and the hawkish rhetoric from the global central banks, not only from the Fed, keeps the gold bears hopeful ahead of the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP).

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD appears a ‘sell the bounce trade', with US NFP ahead

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price floats beyond small supports while approaching the key resistance surrounding $1,662 that includes Fibonacci 61.8% one-month and 200-SMA in four-hour. Also adding strength to the level is the Fibonacci 38.2% in one-month.

That said, the middle band of the Bollinger on one-day, around $1,654, seems to guard the quote’s immediate upside.

It should also be noted that the bullion’s run-up beyond $1,662 opens the door for the $1,700 threshold.

Meanwhile, sellers may wait for a clear downside break of $1,638 to retake control, comprising 50-HMA, 5-DMA and the previous weekly low.

Following that, a smooth flow toward the recent low near $1,616 can’t be ruled out.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends losses toward 1.3200 after weak UK PMI data

GBP/USD loses further ground toward 1.3200 in the European session on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom weighs on the British Pound, alongside weak business PMI data for June. Meanwhile, the US Dollar capitalizes on the risk-off mood and hawkish Fed bets ahead of the US PMI release.

EUR/USD stays weak below 1.1450 after German, EU PMI data

EUR/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades below 1.1450 in the European session on Tuesday, after the data from Germany showed that the Composite PMI declined to 48 in June from 48.8 May, while that from the Eurozone rose to 49.5. Meanwhile, the US Dollar holds the upper hand against the Euro amid risk-off sentiment and a hawkish Fed outlook, leaving the pair on the defensive. Traders now await the US PMI data.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, seems vulnerable amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold adds to its Asian session losses, and drops to a nearly two-week low, around the $4,115 region in the last hour amid a bullish US Dollar. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal. This helps the USD in preserving its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025.

Bears cap Solana below $75 as ETF, retail demand wanes

Solana edges below $72 risking a third consecutive day of losses that could erase the 5% gains from Friday. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds reflect muted demand from institutional investors following a minor recovery last week. Meanwhile, retail trading activity hints at a bearish positional buildup.

US S&P Global PMI expected to show steady business growth in June

S&P Global will release the June flash Purchasing Managers' Indices for most major economies, with the United States data scheduled on Tuesday. These surveys of top private-sector executives are seen as an early indicator of the country’s economic health.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.