|

EUR/GBP drifts lower, nearing 0.8700 after Eurozone, UK manufacturing data

  • The Euro extends losses after downbeat manufacturing data, approaching lows near 0.8700.
  • Eurozone manufacturing activity contracted at a faster-than-expected pace in December.
  • UK's Manufacturing PMI remains at levels consistent with moderate growth.

The EUR/GBP extended losses for the third day in a row, although it remains trapped within a tight range, roughly between 0.8700 and 0.8740, in the aftermath of a series of downbeat manufacturing activity data releases in the Eurozone and the UK.

Eurozone’s final HCOB Manufacturing PMI revealed that the sector’s activity contracted at a faster-than-expected pace in December. The final reading has been revised to 48.8 from the preliminary estimation of 49.2 in December. These figures follow a 49.6 reading seen in November and the 50.0 in October, and highlight a declining contribution of manufacturing activity in the region’s GDP.

German final PMI data has been revised down to 47.0, from the 47.7 preliminary estimation, and from November's 48.2 reading. Likewise, Italy’s PMI weakened to 47.9 in December, from 50.6 in November, while Spain's manufacturing activity fell into contraction, at 49.6 from the 51.5 level in the previous month. The only positive reading was France’s activity, which edged up to 50.7 from 50.6 in November.

In the UK, the final $&P Global Manufacturing PMI has also been revised lower, although, in this case, to levels reflecting a mild expansion of the sector’s activity. December’s final reading has been left at 50.6, down from the previous reading of 51.2, and also above November’s 50.2 reading.

Economic Indicator

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global, is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the UK’s manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Pound Sterling (GBP). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among goods producers is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for GBP.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Jan 02, 2026 09:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 50.6

Consensus: 51.2

Previous: 51.2

Source: S&P Global

Economic Indicator

HCOB Manufacturing PMI

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global and Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB), is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the Eurozone manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies from the manufacturing sector. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Euro (EUR). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among goods producers is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for EUR.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Jan 02, 2026 09:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 48.8

Consensus: 49.2

Previous: 49.2

Source: S&P Global

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold bulls remain on the sidelines as USD rallies to fresh YTD peak

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick, and currently trades just below $4,150, nearly unchanged for the day amid mixed cues. As investors look past Friday's disappointing US jobs data, the US Dollar regains strong positive traction and rallies to a fresh high since April 2025. This is seen as a key factor capping the commodity, though receding bets for an October rate hike by the Federal Reserve help limit the downside.

Dogecoin: ETF inflows and technicals fuel recovery
Dogecoin (DOGE) extends its gains, trading above $0.096 on Monday after finding support around the key support zone last week. Continued inflows into spot DOGE Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), alongside strengthening derivatives metrics, indicate improving market sentiment. Meanwhile, the constructive technical outlook suggests the meme coin could extend its gains if the key level holds.
Economics week ahead
In the U.S., the September ISM Services index is expected to ease modestly while continuing to signal expansion, with particular attention on whether price pressures remain elevated. In Canada, the labor market likely rebounded in September, although broader trends still point to a cooling pace of employment growth.
The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.