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Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD clings to gains near $1,860 amid falling yields

  • Gold Price extends a five-day rally amid a broadly subdued US dollar.
  • Risk-aversion, falling Treasury yields boost the XAUUSD gains.
  • Focus on daily closing above 21-DMA for the additional upside.

Gold Price is heading back towards the highest levels in two weeks, as bulls continue to draw support from the falling US Treasury yields across the curve.

Risk-aversion remains at full steam, accentuated by the weak Eurozone and the UK business PMIs, which drives the haven demand into the US government bond. This, in turn, weighs down on the Treasury yields, aiding the upside in the non-yielding gold.

Moreover, the bright metal also capitalizes on a broadly subdued US dollar. The greenback came under renewed selling pressure after the EUR/USD pair rebounded sharply on the latest hawkish comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde. The dollar is keeping its corrective mode intact ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC May meeting’s minutes.

Brewing geopolitical tensions between the US and China over Taiwan is also boding well for the traditional safe-haven gold. US President Joe Biden maintains its commitment of getting militarily involved to defend the self-governed island claimed by China. When asked if there had been any change to the policy after remarks on Monday, Biden said "No."

Attention now turns towards US Manufacturing and Services PMIs due later in the NA session for fresh cues on risk sentiment and the dollar dynamics.

Gold Price: Daily chart

Daily closing above the 21-DMA of $1,857 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal, exposing the additional upside towards the mildly bullish 100-DMA at $1,885. Ahead of that the $1,870 round figure could challenge the bearish commitments.

Also read: Gold Price eyes a sustained move above 21-DMA, focus shifts to Fed Minutes

On the flip side, the immediate support is seen at the $1,850 psychological level. Sellers will then look out for the horizontal flattish 200-DMA at $1,839. Acceptance below the latter will trigger a fresh downswing towards the $1,800 mark.

Gold Price: Additional levels to consider

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1857.09
Today Daily Change3.55
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1853.54
 
Trends
Daily SMA201856.64
Daily SMA501906.99
Daily SMA1001884.8
Daily SMA2001838.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1865.47
Previous Daily Low1843.78
Previous Weekly High1849.45
Previous Weekly Low1786.94
Previous Monthly High1998.43
Previous Monthly Low1872.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1857.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1852.07
Daily Pivot Point S11843.06
Daily Pivot Point S21832.57
Daily Pivot Point S31821.37
Daily Pivot Point R11864.75
Daily Pivot Point R21875.95
Daily Pivot Point R31886.44

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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