|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to see subdued movements awaiting NFP on Friday

Gold price continues to enjoy good two-way price movements while holding at the higher end of this week’s trading range. In the view of FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani, XAU/USD is going nowhere as investors seem reluctant ahead of Friday’s release of the US monthly jobs report.

See – Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to see further gains above the $1835 zone – Commerzbank

Dovish Fed expectations continue to act as a tailwind for XAU/USD

“The closely-watched NFP report might provide fresh clues on when the Fed could begin rolling back its massive pandemic-era stimulus. This, in turn, will play a key role in determining the next leg of a directional move for the non-yielding yellow metal.”

“It is prudent to wait for a sustained move beyond the weekly trading range hurdle, around the $1,823 area, before positioning for any further appreciating move. The momentum could then lift XAU/USD towards a key barrier near the $1,832-34 region, which if cleared decisively will reaffirm the bullish breakout and pave the way for additional gains. Gold might then accelerate the momentum towards the next relevant resistance, around the $1,853-55 zone.”

“The weekly swing lows, around the $1,800 figure, now seems to protect the immediate downside. A sustained break below might prompt some technical selling and drag XAU/USD back towards the $1,778-74 zone. Some follow-through weakness will shift the bias in favour of bearish traders and expose the $1,762 support zone, which is followed by the $1,751-50 region. The downward trajectory could further get extended towards the $1,730 area en-route the $1,700 mark and multi-month swing lows, around the $1,687-86 region.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump speaks about Venezuelan President Maduro's capture

 United States (US) President Donald Trump gave a press conference at his residence in Mar-a-Lago. Trump confirmed the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife: “Maduro and his wife both will face US justice,” Trump said, adding the US will be running Venezuela until they can do a safe, proper, and judicious transition.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).