|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to see further gains above the $1835 zone – Commerzbank

Gold’s rally higher has stalled around the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $1810 for now. Moves higher are still viewed as corrective only while the yellow metal remains below the $1835 region, according to Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank.

See – Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to form an uptrend on a breach above $1870 by year-end – TDS

XAU/USD is oscillating around 200-DMA at $1810

“Gold has spent the past week consolidating around the 200-DMA at $1810. Dips back from here are indicated to remain shallow and should be contained ideally by $1781.”

“While above $1750, the 29th June low it will remain neutral to positive.” 

“Key resistance is the mid-July high at $1834, and the 55-week ma at $1835.41, a move above here is needed to retest the $1856/57 4th June low and the $1871 2020-2021 downtrend.” 

“Below $1750, support is found at $1679.80/$1677.83, and is reinforced by the $1670 June 2020 low.” 

“Below $1670, XAU/USD would target the 2018-2021 uptrend at $1589.”

“The downtrend at $1871 guards the $1816.91 June high.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.