|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to see further gains above the $1835 zone – Commerzbank

Gold’s rally higher has stalled around the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $1810 for now. Moves higher are still viewed as corrective only while the yellow metal remains below the $1835 region, according to Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank.

See – Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to form an uptrend on a breach above $1870 by year-end – TDS

XAU/USD is oscillating around 200-DMA at $1810

“Gold has spent the past week consolidating around the 200-DMA at $1810. Dips back from here are indicated to remain shallow and should be contained ideally by $1781.”

“While above $1750, the 29th June low it will remain neutral to positive.” 

“Key resistance is the mid-July high at $1834, and the 55-week ma at $1835.41, a move above here is needed to retest the $1856/57 4th June low and the $1871 2020-2021 downtrend.” 

“Below $1750, support is found at $1679.80/$1677.83, and is reinforced by the $1670 June 2020 low.” 

“Below $1670, XAU/USD would target the 2018-2021 uptrend at $1589.”

“The downtrend at $1871 guards the $1816.91 June high.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD breaks below 0.7000 ahead of inflation data

AUD/USD has accelerated its downward trend on Tuesday, breaching below the key 0.7000 yardstick ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Wednesday. Indeed, spot has retreated for the second day in a row despite the hawkish hike by the RBA early on Tuesday and in response to the continuation of the move higher in the Greenback. Looking ahead, all the attention will be on the release of Australia’s inflation data on Wednesday.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting the pair.

Gold trims gains; back toward $4,150

Gold now surrenders some of its initial advance and retests the $4,150 zone per troy ounce on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the move higher in the yellow metal comes despite the firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the board, while escalating geopolitical tensions appear to limit the downside potential.

XRP advances within a robust technical structure
Ripple (XRP) shows signs of stabilizing after reclaiming support at $1.50 on Tuesday. A robust technical structure underpins the token’s short to medium-term bullish outlook. Still, XRP is not out of the woods yet, as profit-taking and buyer exhaustion could weigh on price action and extend the recent correction from September highs around $1.66.
RBA recap: Rate hikes are on the table as demand stays too strong

The Reserve Bank of Australia unanimously tightened monetary policy, warning that inflation remained too high and that several upside risks had begun to materialise. Governor Michele Bullock said the Board would raise rates again if necessary.

Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?