|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to reach $2,100 at end-March 2023 fueled by high inflation and geopolitical risks – Deutsche Bank

Both the rising inflation expectations and the status ascribed to gold as a "safe haven" are currently causing prices to test new highs. Strategists at Deutsche Bank expect XAU/USD to advance nicely towards $2,100 by end-March 2023.

Rising inflation expectations and geopolitics will attract further investors to gold

“Were it not for the war in Ukraine, gold could likely have come under pressure due to the expected Fed rate hikes.” 

“With central banks possibly acting more cautiously and inflation expectations rising at the same time, real interest rates in many industrialised countries are likely to remain in deeply negative range for quite some time.” 

“Inflation and geopolitical risks will keep attracting investors towards the yellow metal. This should support the gold price, which we forecast at $2,100/oz at end-March 2023.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays weak below 1.3250 on UK politics,  PMIs eyed

GBP/USD loses ground below 1.3250 in the European session on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom continues to weigh on the British Pound, while the US Dollar capitalizes on the risk-off mood and hawkish Fed bets. The UK and US S&P Global preliminary PMI data are next of note for the major.


EUR/USD keeps range above 1.1400 ahead of German/ Eurozone PMIs

EUR/USD remains stuck in a tight range above 1.1400 in Tuesday's European trading. The US Dollar holds the upper hand against the Euro amid risk-off sentiment and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, leaving the pair on the defensive. Traders now await the preliminary readings of the Purchasing Managers Index from Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States later on Tuesday.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, seems vulnerable amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold adds to its Asian session losses, and drops to a nearly two-week low, around the $4,115 region in the last hour amid a bullish US Dollar. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal. This helps the USD in preserving its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025.

Bears cap Solana below $75 as ETF, retail demand wanes

Solana edges below $72 risking a third consecutive day of losses that could erase the 5% gains from Friday. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds reflect muted demand from institutional investors following a minor recovery last week. Meanwhile, retail trading activity hints at a bearish positional buildup.

Big day of PMIs ahead

In the euro area, June flash PMIs are released. Most respondents will likely have answered after the US-Iran deal, yet the impact of lower oil prices is unlikely to already show up in activity data. We expect manufacturing to edge down to 50.9 (May: 51.6), while we expect services to see a modest improvement to 48.8 (May: 47.7).

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.