|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD surges to a seven-month high, amid Powell's remarks

  • Gold price rallied to a new multi-month high of $2060.62 amid Powell’s speech.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks on soft inflation data and high core inflation boost Gold's appeal as a hedge.
  • US interest rate expectations now include nearly 135 basis points of Fed rate cuts by the end of 2024, as indicated by money market futures.

Gold price extended to a new seven-month high in the mid-North American session after the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell welcomed recently revealed soft inflation data, though stressed core inflation “is still too high.” At the time of writing, the XAU/USD is trading at around $2059, gaining more than 1.10%.

XAU/USD extended its gains despite Powell’s neutral stance

During a Q and A session, Fed Chair Powell said, “Wed (Fed) are getting what we wanted to get,” giving a green light on bullion traders, which took advantage of XAU/USD’s dip to the $2044.50 area, before jumping to new day and multi-month highs. Meanwhile, US Treasury bond yields are plunging, with the 10-year benchmark note coupon dropping six and a half basis points, at 4.263%, after reaching a high of 4.349%, a tailwind for Gold prices.

Consequently, the Greenback tumbles, as revealed by the US Dollar Index, which measures the currency against six peers, down 0.24%, at 103.26.

In the meantime, money market futures show investors are expecting close to 135 basis points of Fed rate cuts for the end of 2024.

Earlier, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed the Manufacturing PMI for November, which showed that business activity remains in contraction for the thirteenth straight month. Prices paid by manufacturers rose while the employment index eased, in alignment with the recent unemployment claims data.

XAU/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Gold’s is rallying sharply, with buyers eyeing all time high of $2081.82. It should be point out, there’s no additional resistance levels on its way, besides the $2060 and $2070 areas. Once those psychological levels are taken out, the ATH would be at reach. On the flip side, the first support is seen at the November 29 daily high at $2052.13, before opening the door slip to November’s 30 daily low at $2031.58.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2058.19
Today Daily Change21.90
Today Daily Change %1.08
Today daily open2036.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA201985.61
Daily SMA501943.46
Daily SMA1001937.05
Daily SMA2001944.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2047.27
Previous Daily Low2031.59
Previous Weekly High2007.63
Previous Weekly Low1965.51
Previous Monthly High2052.03
Previous Monthly Low1931.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2037.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2041.28
Daily Pivot Point S12029.5
Daily Pivot Point S22022.7
Daily Pivot Point S32013.82
Daily Pivot Point R12045.18
Daily Pivot Point R22054.06
Daily Pivot Point R32060.86

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains stuck in tight range above 1.3600

GBP/USD extends its consolidation into a second consecutive day on Tuesday and fluctuates in a narrow band above 1.3600. The US Dollar stabilizes as investors assess US sanctions on Iran, while diplomatic efforts creep back amid reports that Pakistan is carrying an offer to Iran to halt the siege and lift sanctions under the Memorandum of Understanding.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1700 on modest US Dollar recovery

EUR/USD struggles to gather recovery momentum and trades below 1.1700 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) benefits from the cautious mood as investors assess the latest developments in the Middle East. Later in the day, the US economic calendar will feature consumer sentiment data for August.

Gold pauses near three-month high after sharp rally

Gold loses ground on Tuesday after setting a fresh three-month high of $4,697 earlier in the Asian session. Traders appear to be booking some profits following the recent rally, which has pushed the RSI into overbought territory.

Bitcoin's rally above $80,000 shows signs of overheating 

Bitcoin extends gains, trading above $80,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday following its strongest weekly rise in more than three years. Institutional demand continues to support this rally, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording positive inflows on Monday.

Iran and Fed outlook remain uncertain after Bessent’s comments and ahead of Jackson Hole

Asia Market Update: Directionless trading continues for a 2nd straight session; Iran and Fed outlook remain uncertain after Bessent’s comments and ahead of Jackson Hole; Oman’s Foreign Minister will visit Tehran to Tues, Pakistan commented on MOU.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.