|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD surges to a seven-month high, amid Powell's remarks

  • Gold price rallied to a new multi-month high of $2060.62 amid Powell’s speech.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks on soft inflation data and high core inflation boost Gold's appeal as a hedge.
  • US interest rate expectations now include nearly 135 basis points of Fed rate cuts by the end of 2024, as indicated by money market futures.

Gold price extended to a new seven-month high in the mid-North American session after the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell welcomed recently revealed soft inflation data, though stressed core inflation “is still too high.” At the time of writing, the XAU/USD is trading at around $2059, gaining more than 1.10%.

XAU/USD extended its gains despite Powell’s neutral stance

During a Q and A session, Fed Chair Powell said, “Wed (Fed) are getting what we wanted to get,” giving a green light on bullion traders, which took advantage of XAU/USD’s dip to the $2044.50 area, before jumping to new day and multi-month highs. Meanwhile, US Treasury bond yields are plunging, with the 10-year benchmark note coupon dropping six and a half basis points, at 4.263%, after reaching a high of 4.349%, a tailwind for Gold prices.

Consequently, the Greenback tumbles, as revealed by the US Dollar Index, which measures the currency against six peers, down 0.24%, at 103.26.

In the meantime, money market futures show investors are expecting close to 135 basis points of Fed rate cuts for the end of 2024.

Earlier, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed the Manufacturing PMI for November, which showed that business activity remains in contraction for the thirteenth straight month. Prices paid by manufacturers rose while the employment index eased, in alignment with the recent unemployment claims data.

XAU/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Gold’s is rallying sharply, with buyers eyeing all time high of $2081.82. It should be point out, there’s no additional resistance levels on its way, besides the $2060 and $2070 areas. Once those psychological levels are taken out, the ATH would be at reach. On the flip side, the first support is seen at the November 29 daily high at $2052.13, before opening the door slip to November’s 30 daily low at $2031.58.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2058.19
Today Daily Change21.90
Today Daily Change %1.08
Today daily open2036.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA201985.61
Daily SMA501943.46
Daily SMA1001937.05
Daily SMA2001944.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2047.27
Previous Daily Low2031.59
Previous Weekly High2007.63
Previous Weekly Low1965.51
Previous Monthly High2052.03
Previous Monthly Low1931.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2037.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2041.28
Daily Pivot Point S12029.5
Daily Pivot Point S22022.7
Daily Pivot Point S32013.82
Daily Pivot Point R12045.18
Daily Pivot Point R22054.06
Daily Pivot Point R32060.86

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data. 

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

Markets attempt to rally on positive news from Iran

There’s been an abrupt change in sentiment this morning, European stock markets are higher and oil and gas prices are moderating, after comments from Iran’s deputy minister about pre-conflict talks between Iran and the US.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.