|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD regains poise above $2,350 amid Iran-Israel conflict

  • Gold price resumes uptrend on Middle East escalation after Iran attacked Israel over the weekend.
  • US Dollar stays uninspired by geopolitical tensions, as risk sentiment remains in a sweeter spot.
  • Gold price likely to stay supported ahead of top-tier US Retail Sales data.

Gold price is back in the green above $2,350 early Monday, having witnessed the long-due correction from record highs of $$2,432 on Friday.

Gold price opens higher, then retraces

Gold price saw a positive start to the week in early dealings, mainly lifted by the escalation in the conflict between Iran and Israel over the weekend. Investors scurried for safety in the traditional safe haven, as traders geared up for a new week following Iran’s drones attack on Israel late Saturday.

Gold price stays underpinned by markets’ fears that Iran’s unprecedented weekend strike on Israel could fuel rounds of retaliation. However, the UK, France and Egypt condemned Iran's action while Saudi Arabia called for restraint, offering some comfort to markets, as risk sentiment remains in a sweeter spot in early Asia.

The S&P 500 futures gain 0.30% on the day, reflecting the market optimism, which is capping the further upside in Gold price.

Looking ahead, if the Middle East conflict intensify, Gold price is likely to see an extension of the rebound toward $2,400. But a resurgent demand for the US Dollar on increased safe-haven flows and hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations could act as a headwind to the Gold price upswing.

The focus will also be on the high-impact US Retail Sales data due later on Monday, with the monthly headline figure to increase by 0.3% in March, slower than February’s 0.6% rise.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2358.4
Today Daily Change14.11
Today Daily Change %0.60
Today daily open2344.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA202249.25
Daily SMA502139.11
Daily SMA1002086.35
Daily SMA2002009.51
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2431.61
Previous Daily Low2333.96
Previous Weekly High2431.61
Previous Weekly Low2303.02
Previous Monthly High2236.27
Previous Monthly Low2039.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2371.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2394.31
Daily Pivot Point S12308.3
Daily Pivot Point S22272.3
Daily Pivot Point S32210.65
Daily Pivot Point R12405.95
Daily Pivot Point R22467.6
Daily Pivot Point R32503.6

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD falls as US Dollar receives from internal FOMC policy split

GBP/USD loses ground after three days of gains, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar gains support from a hawkish pause by the Federal Reserve and an internal FOMC policy split.


EUR/USD softens to near 1.1500 as US-Iran war widens

The EUR/ USD pair loses ground to near 1.1515 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The Euro softens against the US Dollar amid risk-off sentiment and fears of wider war in the Middle East. The preliminary reading of the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices from the Eurozone for July and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released later on Friday. 


Gold: Looks to snap four-month losing streak but sellers refuse to give up

Gold fails to hold above $4,100 once again as sellers return early Friday. The US Dollar rebounds on fresh US-Iran tensions and month-end profit-taking. Gold closed above $4,100 on Thursday, but the daily RSI remains below 50.  

Why is IDR near historic lows despite Bank Indonesia's 5.75% rate?

The Indonesian Rupiah has faced persistent depreciation pressures against the US Dollar during the first half of 2026, with the USD/IDR pair stabilizing around the 18,100–18,200 range at the time of writing after reaching a record high at 18,247 on June 8, marking the Rupiah's weakest level on record against the Greenback.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.