|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD reaches to all-time highs near $2,230, US PCE eyed

  • Gold price appreciates on market bias towards rate cuts possibility by major central banks in 2024.
  • Investors expect three rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in the coming months.
  • Investors await the US PCE report to gain additional insight into the Fed’s interest rates trajectory.

Gold price appreciates to all-time highs near $2,230 per troy ounce, attempting to continue its winning streak for the fifth successive session on Friday. However, trading volumes are light as market participants are likely observing Good Friday. The glitters of Gold are attracting buyers as market sentiment leans toward major central banks initiating an interest rate-cut cycle this year.

Investors are gaining confidence in Gold as they anticipate three rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in the coming months. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, leaning towards a dovish stance, expects three cuts but emphasizes the need for more evidence of inflation subsiding before implementing any action.

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Francois Villeroy suggested that achieving the ECB's inflation goal of 2% is feasible, but he cautioned against escalating downside risks if the ECB opts against rate cuts. ECB executive board member Fabio Panetta remarked on Thursday that "the conditions to begin easing monetary policy are emerging."

In Europe, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut rates at its March meeting, sparking speculation that other major central banks might take similar actions. Meanwhile, although the Bank of Japan ceased its negative rate policy, it is anticipated to maintain an accommodative stance for the foreseeable future.

The United Nations Security Council passed a resolution urging a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, along with the release of hostages. However, the conflict in the Gaza Strip continues unabated, with Palestinian militants yet to release any captives. The Palestinian Red Crescent reported that Israeli forces besieged two additional Gaza hospitals on Sunday, trapping medical personnel amidst intense gunfire. The escalation of geopolitical tensions has heightened demand for safe-haven assets like Gold.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2234.24
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open2234.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA202163.93
Daily SMA502080.93
Daily SMA1002051.64
Daily SMA2001989.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2236.27
Previous Daily Low2187.44
Previous Weekly High2223.22
Previous Weekly Low2146.16
Previous Monthly High2065.49
Previous Monthly Low1984.26
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2217.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2206.09
Daily Pivot Point S12202.36
Daily Pivot Point S22170.49
Daily Pivot Point S32153.53
Daily Pivot Point R12251.19
Daily Pivot Point R22268.15
Daily Pivot Point R32300.02

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold drifts higher above $4,200 on surging ETF inflows, markets await US inflation data this week

Gold price gains ground to near $4,215 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid rising demand for bullion-backed exchange-traded funds and a weaker US Dollar. Yellow metal receives some support from rising investment demand, with inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds reaching a four-year high, according to Bloomberg data.

Week ahead: US CPI, France’s budget crisis and Q3 earnings to set the market tone
The US dollar held relatively strong this week, despite the disappointing US jobs report on October 2, which further decreased the probability of a back-to-back rate hike by the Fed at the upcoming gathering on October 28.
Middle East War updates: New attack launched on Saudi airport
Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week. In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?