|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD plunges below $1,800 amid rising US T-bond yields

  • Gold came under renewed bearish pressure on Wednesday.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield is testing 1.5%.
  • Next near-term technical support is located at $1,790.

Gold closed in the negative territory after jumping to its highest level in more than a month at $1,820 on Tuesday and seems to be having a hard time shaking off the bearish pressure mid-week. XAU/USD was last seen losing 0.6% on a daily basis at $1,795.

The renewed dollar strength on Wednesday is weighing on XAU/USD ahead of the American session. The US Dollar Index is clinging to modest daily gains at 96.35 as investors remain cautious in the face of the surging number of Omicron cases. 

There won't be any high-tier macroeconomic data releases in the remainder of the day and investors will remain focused on the risk perception. As of writing, US stocks futures were posting small gains, suggesting that risk flows could return in the second half of the day but thin trading conditions make it difficult to assess the market sentiment.

In the meantime, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is edging higher toward 1.5% and not allowing XAU/USD to stage a rebound. 

Gold technical outlook

On the four-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index dropped below 50, confirming the view that the bearish pressure is gathering strength. On the downside, the 100-period SMA is forming the first near-term technical support at $1,790 ahead of $1,785 (static level).

On the upside, $1,800 (psychological level) aligns as first resistance before $1,805 (200-period SMA). In case a four-hour candle closes above the latter, buyers could see that as an opportunity to reclaim the control of the pair's action.

Additional levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1795.81
Today Daily Change-9.77
Today Daily Change %-0.54
Today daily open1805.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA201789.4
Daily SMA501802.56
Daily SMA1001790.48
Daily SMA2001797.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1820.29
Previous Daily Low1805.09
Previous Weekly High1810.76
Previous Weekly Low1784.91
Previous Monthly High1877.23
Previous Monthly Low1758.92
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1810.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1814.48
Daily Pivot Point S11800.35
Daily Pivot Point S21795.12
Daily Pivot Point S31785.15
Daily Pivot Point R11815.55
Daily Pivot Point R21825.52
Daily Pivot Point R31830.75

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).