Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD moves below $1,850 on market caution, Fed Powell speech eyed

Gold price faces challenges after the moderate US data on Friday.
US passed bills to avert a government shutdown, securing funding until November 17.
Higher US Treasury yields put pressure on non-yielding assets like Gold.

Akhtar Faruqui FXStreet

Gold price extends its losing streak that began on September 25, trading lower around $1,840 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Monday.

China’s Manufacturing PMI data was released over the weekend, which showed improvement into positive territory but failed to provide any support for the Gold prices. China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI for August grew to 50.2 from the previous 49.7 figures, exceeding the 50.0 expected.

Additionally, the Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7 from the 51.0 previous reading, surpassing the market consensus of 51.5.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) holds ground to continue to gain in the second trading session after the moderate datasets from the United States (US). The spot price bids higher around 106.20.

Additionally, the upbeat US Treasury Yields are contributing support to the USD’s strength. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond stands at 4.61% by the press time, up by 0.96%.

The prices of precious metals face challenges, primarily due to the upbeat US Dollar (USD) after the moderate economic data released on Friday. US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Sep) improved to 68.1 from the previous figure of 67.7, which was expected to remain unchanged.

US Core PCE - Price Index (YoY) for August rose 3.9% as estimated, eased from the previous reading of 4.3%. Core PCE (MoM) showed a soft reading of 0.1% against the market consensus to be consistent at the 0.2% prior.

Following the Friday session, bills were successfully passed in the US to avert a government shutdown, securing funding until November 17. This development has prompted a resumption of the US Dollar (USD) upward trajectory.

The Gold traders will likely watch the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI for September ahead of the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Monday.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1843.97
Today Daily Change	-4.57
Today Daily Change %	-0.25
Today daily open	1848.54

Trends
Daily SMA20	1912.2
Daily SMA50	1921.29
Daily SMA100	1935.2
Daily SMA200	1927.58

Levels
Previous Daily High	1879.88
Previous Daily Low	1846.37
Previous Weekly High	1927.27
Previous Weekly Low	1846.37
Previous Monthly High	1953.01
Previous Monthly Low	1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1859.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1867.08
Daily Pivot Point S1	1836.65
Daily Pivot Point S2	1824.75
Daily Pivot Point S3	1803.14
Daily Pivot Point R1	1870.16
Daily Pivot Point R2	1891.77
Daily Pivot Point R3	1903.67

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

FXStreet

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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