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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends the rally above $2,160, investors await US NFP data

  • Gold price gains momentum around $2,165 amid the softer US Dollar, adding 0.12% on the day. 
  • The dovish comments from central bank policymakers and safe-haven flows boost the demand for gold. 
  • Gold traders await the Eurozone GDP Q4 growth numbers and US February labor market data. 

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its upside around $2,165 after reaching a record high during the early European session on Friday. A weaker US Dollar (USD) and a decline in US Treasury bond yields provide some support to the gold price. Furthermore, the rising expectation for the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the June meeting boosts the demand for gold price. 

That being said, the dovish commentary from central bank policymakers creates a tailwind for the yellow metal. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US central bank is "not far" from gaining enough confidence that inflation will reach its 2% target to begin lowering interest rates. Investors will take more cues from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday for fresh impetus, which is expected to see 200,000 jobs added to the US economy. However, the stronger-than-expected data might lift the Greenback and exert some selling pressure on the gold price. 

Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) Christine Lagarde indicated the ECB may ease policy in its June meeting. The ECB maintained its benchmark rate unchanged at 4.0% at its March meeting on Thursday, but it lowered its inflation forecast for 2024 from 2.7% to 2.3%, indicating the central bank opened the door to possible rate cuts in the coming months.

Furthermore, Chinese investors purchased the yellow metal as a safe place to keep their cash after the property sector and stock markets in China tumbled. The escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might be attributed to the demand for traditional safe-haven assets as well.  

Gold traders will closely watch the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (GDP). On the US docket, the February labor market data, including Nonfarm-Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings will be released. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the gold price. 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2159.02
Today Daily Change0.32
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open2158.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA202047.49
Daily SMA502039.61
Daily SMA1002022.1
Daily SMA2001972.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2164.81
Previous Daily Low2144.18
Previous Weekly High2088.39
Previous Weekly Low2024.57
Previous Monthly High2065.49
Previous Monthly Low1984.26
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2156.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2152.06
Daily Pivot Point S12146.98
Daily Pivot Point S22135.27
Daily Pivot Point S32126.35
Daily Pivot Point R12167.61
Daily Pivot Point R22176.53
Daily Pivot Point R32188.24








 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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