Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends intraday gains, trades around $1,930


  • Gold price rebounds from the previous week’s losses.
  • The pullback in the US Dollar (USD) is underpinning the prices of Gold.
  • China-linked economic fears could limit the advance in yellow metal.

Gold price trades higher around $1,930 a troy ounce, rebounding from the losses registered in the previous week. The pullback in the US Dollar (USD) is providing support in strengthening the prices of Gold, which could be attributed to the lower likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates unchanged in the upcoming September.

However, the yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds improved to 4.30%, up by 0.84% at the time of writing. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is extending intraday losses during the Asian session on Monday despite the upbeat US Treasury yields. Spot price beats lower around 104.60.

The Greenback is expected to exhibit resilience, driven by the consistent flow of positive economic data from the United States (US). Investors will likely monitor the upcoming data of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August from the US, scheduled to be released Wednesday. The data could provide further insights into the inflation scenario of the country.

Investors may price in anticipation of a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate hike by the Fed in November or December meetings. Along with this, the Fed is expected to sustain elevated interest rates over an extended period. This hawkish tone could potentially provide further support for the precious metal.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen made a statement on Sunday while coming back from the G20 Summit. Yellen showed an increasing level of confidence in the United States' ability to curb inflation without harming the employment market. Yellen also stated, "Every measure of inflation is on the road down."

Also, Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee mentioned the objective of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to steer the economy onto a "golden path." This path represents a situation in which inflation decreases without triggering a recession, a challenging equilibrium that central banks frequently aim for to sustain economic stability and growth.

The yellow metal was possibly undermined after the release of China’s weaker-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, which was published on Saturday. The report showed a rise of 0.1% on an annual basis, falling short of market expectations of a 0.2% reading. However, the consumer prices improved from the previous month's figure of -0.3%.

Moreover, China's real estate developer, Country Garden, is set to undergo a new voting for extending onshore bond maturities. Creditors will cast their votes on Monday to decide whether to extend the maturity of several debts, following two instances of narrowly avoiding default earlier this month.

Market participants will observe the challenges that Chinese authorities are confronting as they work to implement the necessary monetary and fiscal measures required to meet Beijing's goal of achieving a 5% GDP growth rate for the current year.

XAU/USD: Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1927.16
Today Daily Change 8.20
Today Daily Change % 0.43
Today daily open 1918.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1915.98
Daily SMA50 1932.21
Daily SMA100 1950.65
Daily SMA200 1918.88
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1929.75
Previous Daily Low 1917.41
Previous Weekly High 1946.35
Previous Weekly Low 1915.33
Previous Monthly High 1966.08
Previous Monthly Low 1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1922.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1925.04
Daily Pivot Point S1 1914.33
Daily Pivot Point S2 1909.7
Daily Pivot Point S3 1901.99
Daily Pivot Point R1 1926.67
Daily Pivot Point R2 1934.38
Daily Pivot Point R3 1939.01

 

 

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