|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD consolidates around $2,030, awaits US CPI on Thursday

  • Gold price lacks a firm intraday direction and remains close to a multi-week low set on Monday.
  • Elevated US bond yields act as a headwind amid reduced bets for a more aggressive Fed easing.
  • Subdued USD price action helps limit the downside ahead of the key US CPI report on Thursday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to gain any meaningful traction following the previous day's late pullback from the $2,040 area and oscillates in a narrow trading band during the Asian session on Wednesday. Traders now seem reluctant and prefer to wait for the release of the latest consumer inflation figures on Thursday before placing fresh directional bets.

The crucial US CPI report will influence expectations about the Fed's future policy decisions and help in determining the near-term trajectory for the non-yielding Gold price. Heading into the key data risk, the incoming US macro data pointed to a still-resilient economy, which is experiencing above-target inflation. Adding to this, hawkish remarks by Fed officials forced investors to scale back their expectations for more aggressive policy easing in 2024. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the yellow metal.

Apart from this, a generally positive tone around the equity markets further contributes to capping the safe-haven Gold price. The US central bank, meanwhile, pivoted to a more cautious stance at its December meeting and signalled that it would lower borrowing costs in 2024. Market participants, however, remain uncertain over the timing of when the Fed will start cutting interest rates. This keeps the US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and lends support to the XAU/USD. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains well within the striking distance of a nearly three-week low touched on Monday.

Moving ahead, there isn't any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Wednesday, leaving the USD at the mercy of the US bond yields. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment might provide some impetus to the Gold price and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities. Meanwhile, the precious metal's inability to attract buyers supports prospects for an extension of a well-established downtrend witnessed over the past two weeks or so.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2030.27
Today Daily Change1.80
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open2028.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA202045.32
Daily SMA502014.46
Daily SMA1001965.57
Daily SMA2001963.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2042.01
Previous Daily Low2026.15
Previous Weekly High2079.01
Previous Weekly Low2024.43
Previous Monthly High2144.48
Previous Monthly Low1973.13
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2035.95
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2032.21
Daily Pivot Point S12022.41
Daily Pivot Point S22016.35
Daily Pivot Point S32006.55
Daily Pivot Point R12038.27
Daily Pivot Point R22048.07
Daily Pivot Point R32054.13

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies around 1.1700, with eyes on key EU/ US data

EUR/USD keeps its range intact around 1.1700 in European trading hours on Wednesday. The pair awaits key Eurozone inflation and US jobs numbers for a fresh directional impetus. In the meantime, a broadly subdued US Dollar keeps the major supported. 

GBP/USD holds gains above 1.3500 as USD slips ahead of US data

GBP/USD gains some ground above 1.3500 on Wednesday after registering modest gains in the previous session. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ADP Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index due later in the day.

Gold corrects from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

ADP Employment Report set to show moderate rebound in December after November’s drop

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute will release its monthly Employment Change Report for December on Wednesday. The ADP report is expected to show that the United States economy created 45,000 jobs in the last month of 2025, to offset the 32.000 net employment loss seen in November.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.