Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls take a breather below the $2,000 mark, US data, geopolitical tensions eyed


  • Gold price currently trades near $1,975 after retracing from the nearly $2,000 mark.
  • Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Powell and other Fed officials signal that rates would be held steady at its November meeting.
  • Geopolitical tensions continue to hang over the market, which boosts the safe-haven asset like gold.
  • Market players will focus on the US PMI, growth numbers, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE).

Gold prices (XAU/USD) trims a part of the previous week's gains and hovers around $1,975 during the Asian session on Monday. The bullish outlook of the precious metal is bolstered by the safe-haven flows due to the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of USD against six other major currencies, consolidates around 106.15.

As the FOMC enters its blackout period, there is a clear signal that rates will be held steady at its November meeting. On Friday, Atlanta Federal Reserve (Fed) President Raphael Bostic stated that he doesn't think that the US central bank will cut the rate before the middle of next year. Fed Philadelphia President Patrick Harker reiterated his preference to keep interest rates unchanged. While Fed Cleveland President Loretta Mester said the US central bank is "at or near the peak of the rate hike cycle.

Additionally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a desire to pause rate hikes and watch how economic data develops in the coming months. Powell further stated that more monetary policy tightening might be appropriate if there are more indications about above-trend growth or if the labor market stops easing. Market players will focus on the US economic data this week, which might convince the central bank about the further monetary policy path. The stronger-than-expected data could lift the US Dollar (USD) higher and weigh on the USD-denominated gold.

On the other hand, rising tension in the Middle East might boost safe-haven assets like gold price. That said, fears that the Israel-Hamas confrontation would escalate into a larger Middle East battle grew on Sunday, with Washington warning of a significant risk to US interests in the region.

Later this week, gold traders will monitor the US S&P Global PMI on Tuesday, the first reading of Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth on Thursday, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on Friday. Geopolitical tensions continue to hang over the market. Any sign of tensions easing could see precious metal markets come under pressure.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1975.1
Today Daily Change -6.12
Today Daily Change % -0.31
Today daily open 1981.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1883.69
Daily SMA50 1904.26
Daily SMA100 1922.82
Daily SMA200 1930.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1997.23
Previous Daily Low 1972.06
Previous Weekly High 1997.23
Previous Weekly Low 1908.23
Previous Monthly High 1953.01
Previous Monthly Low 1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1987.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1981.67
Daily Pivot Point S1 1969.78
Daily Pivot Point S2 1958.33
Daily Pivot Point S3 1944.61
Daily Pivot Point R1 1994.95
Daily Pivot Point R2 2008.67
Daily Pivot Point R3 2020.12

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD extends sideways grind below 1.0900

EUR/USD extends sideways grind below 1.0900

EUR/USD stays in a consolidation phase below 1.0900 following the previous week's rally. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the US Dollar stays resilient against its rivals as investors scrutinize comments from central bank officials. 

EUR/USD News

Gold pulls away from record highs, holds above $2,400

Gold pulls away from record highs, holds above $2,400

Gold rose sharply at the beginning of the week on escalating geopolitical tensions and touched a new all-time high of $2,450. With market mood improving modestly, XAU/USD erases a majority of its daily gains but manages to hold above $2,400.

Gold News

GBP/USD holds steady near 1.2700, Fedspeak in focus

GBP/USD holds steady near 1.2700, Fedspeak in focus

GBP/USD fluctuates in a narrow channel near 1.2700 on the first trading day of the week. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar hold its ground, while market participants assess remarks from central bank officials ahead of this week's key events.

GBP/USD News

Ripple stays above $0.50 on Monday as firm backs research on blockchain and quantum computing

Ripple stays above $0.50 on Monday as firm backs research on blockchain and quantum computing

XRP price holds steady above the $0.50 key support level and edges higher on Monday, trading at 0.5130 and rising 0.70% in the day at the time of writing.

Read more

Week ahead: Nvidia results and UK CPI falling back to target

Week ahead: Nvidia results and UK CPI falling back to target

What a week for investors. The Dow Jones reached a record high and closed last week above 40,000, for the first time ever. This is a major bullish signal even though gains for global stocks were fairly modest on Friday, and European stocks closed lower. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures