|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD awaits Fed minutes well-positioned to break above $1800

Heading into the Fed’s July meeting’s minutes release, gold is witnessing a buying resurgence, as the bulls look to reclaim the $1800 mark. In the view of FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta, the yellow metal is set to breakout to the upside. 

See – Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to face tough resistance at $1800 – OCBC

$1800 testing bullish commitments, Fed minutes hold the key

“The FOMC minutes will throw fresh light on the US central bank’s tapering plans. Escalating covid concerns continue to remain an upside risk for gold price, as they bring along a lot of uncertainty on the prospects of global economic recovery.”

“The dollar is easing ahead of the key event risk amid a minor recovery in the risk sentiment, which has fuelled the gains in gold price (for now). If the risk aversion seeps back in the sessions ahead, the safe-haven dollar could catch a fresh bid and dent’s gold’s bullish potential.”

“The horizontal 200-SMA at $1796 appears a tough nut to crack for gold bulls while the immediate downside remains capped by the horizontal 100-SMA at $1786. The Fed minutes could yield a breakout in either direction. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) edging higher above the midline, the risks remain skewed towards an upside breakout.”

“The 200-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at $1813 could be next on the buyers’ radar. Therefore, a four-hourly closing above the 200-SMA could call for a test of the $1800 mark.”

“Any dip below the 100-SMA could expose the bullish 21-SMA at $1780, below which the last line of defense appears at the downward-sloping 100-SMA at $1759.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 amid ECB rate hold expectations

The EUR/USD pair declines to around 1.1730 during the early European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Nonetheless, the potential downside for the major pair might be limited amid the growing acceptance that the European Central Bank is done cutting interest rates. 

GBP/USD gains ground above 1.3400 on UK PMI optimism

The GBP/USD pair gains momentum to around 1.3425 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling edges higher against the Greenback on the upbeat UK preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index data. Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Wednesday. 

Gold advances to near seven-week highs amid US labor market cooling

Gold price extends its upside to near seven-week highs above $4,300 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the US labor market remains relatively resilient but shows signs of slowing. The mixed US employment report for November reinforces bets of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve and weighs on the US Dollar.

Top Crypto Gainers: SPX6900, Pi Network, Filecoin – Sudden rebound lifts bullish spirit

SPX6900, Pi Network, and Filecoin emerge as top gainers in the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market remains under bearish pressure. The sudden rebound in SPX, PI, and FIL suggests a possible rally, as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator on the 4-hour chart flashes a buy signal. 

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.