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Gold Price Analysis: Yellow metal teases pennant breakout

  • Gold bulls look to penetrate the upper end of the pennant pattern. 
  • A breakout, if confirmed, would allow a re-test of highs seen in April. 

Gold is currently hovering near $1,1718, which is the upper end of the one-month-long contracting triangle, popularly known as pennant pattern. 

Acceptance above that level would confirm a pennant breakout. That would imply a continuation of the rally from the March 20 low of $1,455 and open the doors to a re-test of the April 14 high of $1,747. On the way higher, the lower high of $1,739 created on April 23 could offer some resistance

Alternatively, a downside break of the pennant pattern would confirm a bullish-to-bearish trend change and expose the 50-day average at $1,651. A violation there would shift the focus to $1,614 (100-day average) and $1,600.

The bullish scenario looks likely, as the 14-day relative strength index has broken out of a four-week-long falling channel. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

    1. R3 1742.18
    2. R2 1730.26
    3. R1 1723.15
  1. PP 1711.23
    1. S1 1704.12
    2. S2 1692.2
    3. S3 1685.09

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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