|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD's upside capped by bearish 10-day SMA

  • Gold remains in bearish territory below the 10-day SMA. 
  • A break below Wednesday's low could attract stronger selling pressure.

Gold is again struggling to take out the descending or bearish 10-day simple moving average (SMA), having failed to keep gains above the SMA hurdle on Wednesday. 

The metal tested the 10-day SMA at $1,891 a few minutes ago and is now trading near $1,888 per ounce. 

A repeated rejection at the bearish 10-day SMA has boosted risk in favor of a drop to Wednesday's low of $1,881. A break lower would confirm an end of the bounce from the Sept. 28 low of $1,848 and open the doors for a re-test of that level. 

On the higher side, the resistance of the trendline falling from Aug. 7 and Sept. 16 highs is the level to beat for the bulls. At press time, the bearish trendline is located at $1,935, and the metal is trading at $1,889 per ounce. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

    1. R3 1919.17
    2. R2 1910.77
    3. R1 1898.33
  1. PP 1889.93
    1. S1 1877.49
    2. S2 1869.09
    3. S3 1856.65

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY steadies below 160.50 as BoJ's Uchida speaks on outlook

USD/JPY holds its bounce below 160.50 in Europe trading on Tuesday, following the release of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision. The BoJ hiked the key rate by 25 bps to 1% as widely, providing little to no impetus to the Japanese Yen. BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida's press conference is doing little to lift the Japanese Yen.


AUD/USD keeps losses near 0.7050 after RBA's expected pause

AUD/ISD is holding moderate losses near 0.7050 in the European session on Tuesday. Traders are assessing the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) expected interest rate hike pause decision and the Governor Bullock's remarks, with the Australian Dollar holding lower ground.

Gold holds gains above $4,300 amid cautious markets

Gold maintains a mildly positive tone, holding gains after rallying about 6.5% over the last few days. The precious metal's recovery, however, has lost steam after crossing the $4,300 line and remains practically flat as the initial enthusiasm about the US-Iran peace deal faded, with investors awaiting details of the agreement and monetary policy decisions by major central banks.

Solana's rebound gains momentum as ETF inflows return

Solana (SOL) steadies at $73 after posting three consecutive green candlesticks since the weekend. The recent recovery is supported by institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording net inflows of $2.81 million on Monday.

Kevin Warsh opens first Fed meeting June 16 with rate hold expected
Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate in a 54-45 vote and sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on 22 May 2026. The ceremony took place at the White House, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. The FOMC meeting on 16 and 17 June is his first as chair. The June meeting is also a quarterly projection meeting.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.