|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to test key 50-DMA hurdle on its way to $2000

  • Gold poised for a rally towards the $2000 mark in the week ahead.
  • Bulls charted a classic falling wedge breakdown on the daily chart.
  • A break above 50-DMA resistance is critical to take on the further upside.

Following the settlement at two-week highs of $1930, Gold (XAU/USD) remains poised to extend the bullish momentum into a fresh week, courtesy of a classic technical breakout on the daily chart.

On Friday, the metal finally delivered a daily closing above the critical upside barrier at $1911, the confluence of the 21-daily moving average (DMA) and falling trendline resistance, yielding a falling wedge breakdown.

The technical breakout added credence to the bullish reversal from the two-month lows of $1849, opening doors for a retest of the $2000 mark in the coming week.

However, it's critical for the bulls to take out the fierce 50-DMA hurdle $1939.50. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) pierced above the midline, pointing north at 54.55, indicative of more scope to the upside.

Alternatively, any profit-taking declines could be limited by the initial support at the abovementioned resistance-turned-support at $1911, below which the 100-DMA cap at $1862 could come back into play ahead of the two-month troughs.

All in all, the path of least resistance is to the upside.

Gold: Daily chart

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1930.25
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1930.25
 
Trends
Daily SMA201907.07
Daily SMA501939.5
Daily SMA1001862.34
Daily SMA2001744.38
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1930.62
Previous Daily Low1893.72
Previous Weekly High1930.62
Previous Weekly Low1873.01
Previous Monthly High1992.42
Previous Monthly Low1848.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1916.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1907.82
Daily Pivot Point S11905.77
Daily Pivot Point S21881.3
Daily Pivot Point S31868.87
Daily Pivot Point R11942.67
Daily Pivot Point R21955.1
Daily Pivot Point R31979.57

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD clinches five-week highs; focus is on 0.7100

AUD/USD has pushed harder on Wednesday, further extending its recent break above the key 0.7000 yardstick. Indeed, the renewed downside pressure on the Greenback lent legs to the Aussie, opening the door to a potential revisit to the 0,.7100 zone.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold hovers around $4,050 after Fed's announcement

Gold ticks higher after the Federal Open Market Committee kept the Fed funds rate unchanged at 4%. XAU/USD advanced as Chair Kevin Warsh explained that hikes are working, cooling down hopes for an aggressive 50 bps hike in December.

Bitcoin and Gold Forecast: BTC bulls hold $80K as XAU defends $4,000 ahead of Fed
Bitcoin (BTC) ticks lower near $80,000 on Wednesday, while Gold (XAU/USD) holds above $4,000. Both assets reflect the broader risk-off sentiment as focus remains on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision later in the day.
Fed's recap: A cautious hold with a clear warning on inflation
The Federal Reserve (Fed) held its policy rate steady at 3.75%-4.00%, but it wasn’t a unanimous decision. Among two officials who wanted a 25-basis-point hike were Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack, while Chair Kevin Warsh said the Fed would use the coming flow of information to decide whether further action is needed. The statement presented a resilient economy.
Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.