|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to test key 50-DMA hurdle on its way to $2000

  • Gold poised for a rally towards the $2000 mark in the week ahead.
  • Bulls charted a classic falling wedge breakdown on the daily chart.
  • A break above 50-DMA resistance is critical to take on the further upside.

Following the settlement at two-week highs of $1930, Gold (XAU/USD) remains poised to extend the bullish momentum into a fresh week, courtesy of a classic technical breakout on the daily chart.

On Friday, the metal finally delivered a daily closing above the critical upside barrier at $1911, the confluence of the 21-daily moving average (DMA) and falling trendline resistance, yielding a falling wedge breakdown.

The technical breakout added credence to the bullish reversal from the two-month lows of $1849, opening doors for a retest of the $2000 mark in the coming week.

However, it's critical for the bulls to take out the fierce 50-DMA hurdle $1939.50. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) pierced above the midline, pointing north at 54.55, indicative of more scope to the upside.

Alternatively, any profit-taking declines could be limited by the initial support at the abovementioned resistance-turned-support at $1911, below which the 100-DMA cap at $1862 could come back into play ahead of the two-month troughs.

All in all, the path of least resistance is to the upside.

Gold: Daily chart

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1930.25
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1930.25
 
Trends
Daily SMA201907.07
Daily SMA501939.5
Daily SMA1001862.34
Daily SMA2001744.38
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1930.62
Previous Daily Low1893.72
Previous Weekly High1930.62
Previous Weekly Low1873.01
Previous Monthly High1992.42
Previous Monthly Low1848.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1916.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1907.82
Daily Pivot Point S11905.77
Daily Pivot Point S21881.3
Daily Pivot Point S31868.87
Daily Pivot Point R11942.67
Daily Pivot Point R21955.1
Daily Pivot Point R31979.57

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1500 after ECB, US PPI

EUR/USD has come under fresh selling pressure and heads toward 1.1500 in Thursday's American trading. The European Central Bank delivered rate hikes as expected, while US wholesale inflation was higher than anticipated in May.

GBP/USD extends slide below 1.3350 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD is falling below the 1.3350 level in the American session on Thursday. Increased hawkish Fed bets and looming Mideast geopolitical risks sponsor the latest leg up in the US Dollar, particularly after the Producer Price Index jumped to 6.5% YoY in May.

Gold challenges fresh 2025 lows below $4,100

Gold trades around $4,070 a troy ounce, dangerously approaching the psychological $4,000 mark. A softer Core US Consumer Price Index eased concerns about a runaway inflation spiral, but renewed concerns surged after the higher-than-anticipated May US PPI report.

Pi Network: Recovery at risk with 16 million PI tokens ready for unlock

Pi Network edges higher after three days of consecutive losses earlier this week, extending the prevailing downtrend since late April. The scheduled unlocking of 16 million PI tokens on Thursday could add pressure to the intraday recovery. Technically, PI remains under bearish pressure.

Indonesia surprise rate hike may not be enough to save the Rupiah

The surprise rate hike from Bank Indonesia, aimed at protecting the Indonesian Rupiah from sliding further, seems to have worked for now. The rate increase definitely helps, but there’s more work to do if Jakarta wants to ease investors’ concerns for good.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.