Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to near the confluence support zone at $1,660-$1,670 – DBS Bank

FXStreet Team FXStreet

Rising US yields have exacerbated gold’s decline, with downward pressure having gold testing key Fibonacci markers at 1,726 and 1,689. The 19.2% decline from August 2020’s 2075 peak places the yellow metal at oversold levels, with XAU/USD driven towards a test of a 1,660-1,670 support confluence zone, Benjamin Wong, Strategist at DBS Bank, reports.

See – Gold Price Analysis: Weaker USD and range-bound real yields to underpin XAU/USD – Standard Chartered

Key quotes

“Gold ETF demand sprouted from September 2019 onwards, and back-testing that against an average line costing, such holdings are average costed around 1680 (hence the significance of the 1,660-1,670 confluence zone).”

“Both gold longs either on ETFs or futures positioning are reducing longs – hence, unless gold secures a sustained return over 1,760-1,765 (the May highs and a prior 50% Fibonacci marker) and the 200-day moving average at 1,859, the risks would be both ways until the bull reasserts its presence.”

Author

FXStreet Team

FXStreet

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.