|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD struggling to find momentum above $1,870 after FOMC minutes non-starter

  • Gold holding onto near-term highs, but bull runs into $1,900 are failing on Wednesday.
  • XAU/USD set to be exposed to US inflation figures due Thursday with US CPI in the barrel.
  • Despite a technical ceiling, spot Gold remains well-bid, up nearly 3.5% from last week's lows near $1,810.

Gold spot prices find themselves on the high side for Wednesday, up from the day's opening bids around $1,859 with the day's high etched in near $1,877. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) latest meeting minutes failed to spark a notable market reaction, with Fed officials spreading their bets on comments about inflation risks and policy measures.

FOMC minutes: Members agreed rates should stay restrictive for some time

XAU/USD is struggling to find momentum to make a meaningful run into $1,880, and intraday action could see itself constrained into the back end as markets head into Thursday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading.

The US CPI printing on Thursday is expected to see a mild decline from 3.7% to 3.6% for the headline annualized period into September. An upside beat could see a resurgence of inflation concerns in the market, which would see the Greenback (USD) pushed firmly higher once again. For the meantime though, US Dollar flows remain limited, but Gold traders so far remain unable to claim further ground for the XAU/USD today.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook

Gold's minor gain on Wednesday has the pair pushing back to the 50% retracement region of the last top-to-bottom swing on the daily candles, and spot Gold bids are set for a challenge of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near the $1,900 handle.

Gold remains notably down from the year's average bids, after XAU/USD's last swing low saw Gold knocking into new lows for 2023. Price action has fallen well below the 200-day SMA currently near $,1925, and the challenge for Gold bulls will be to keep spot prices on-balance and grinding higher as long as US inflation concerns remain subdued.

XAU/USD Daily Chart

XAU/USD Technical Levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1872.03
Today Daily Change11.43
Today Daily Change %0.61
Today daily open1860.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA201881.76
Daily SMA501904.09
Daily SMA1001924.97
Daily SMA2001928.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1865.39
Previous Daily Low1853.04
Previous Weekly High1849.16
Previous Weekly Low1810.51
Previous Monthly High1953.01
Previous Monthly Low1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1857.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1860.67
Daily Pivot Point S11853.96
Daily Pivot Point S21847.33
Daily Pivot Point S31841.61
Daily Pivot Point R11866.31
Daily Pivot Point R21872.03
Daily Pivot Point R31878.66

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD stays offered, breaks below 1.1400…again

EUR/USD adds to Tuesday’s slight losses and drops below the 1.1400 yardstick in the latter part of Wednesday’s NA session. The pair’s decline comes in response to the persistent recovery in the US Dollar, which seems to have met extra support following the cautious tone from Fed’s Warsh in his comments at the ECB Forum.

Gold recovers but sellers hold the grip

Gold keeps the bullish performance in place on Wednesday, although is now giving away part of its earlier advance past the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s marked rebound comes despite the US Dollar’s bid bias, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and positive headlines from the Middle East.


Dogecoin vs Shiba Inu: DOGE and SHIB start July with similar setups
The cryptocurrency market shows subtle signs of rebounding on Wednesday after facing intense headwinds over the past few weeks, largely attributed to geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic uncertainty and risk-averse sentiment. Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) are holding above pivotal support levels at $0.0700 and $0.0000040, respectively, suggesting investors are ready to reengage.
Warsh stays on message as inflation remains the Fed's top priority
At the ECB Forum in Sintra, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh largely followed the script, offering little to change the market’s current view on monetary policy.
Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.