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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD struggles to capitalize on bounce from 200-hour SMA

  • Gold staged a modest intraday bounce from 200-hour SMA, albeit lacked follow-through.
  • Mixed technical indicators on hourly/daily charts warrant caution for aggressive traders.

Gold found a decent support near 200-hour SMA, around the $1834-33 region and staged a modest intraday bounce on Thursday. The uptick, however, lacked any strong follow-through and the commodity was last seen trading in the neutral territory through the mid-European session, just below the $1845 level.

From a technical perspective, the XAU/USD on Wednesday stalled its recent recover from two-month lows, around the $1785 region and faced rejection near the very important 200-day SMA. The subsequent fall suggested that the positive momentum might have already run out of the steam amid the risk-on mood.

That said, the emergence of some dip-buying on Thursday warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders. This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through selling below the 200-hour SMA support, or daily swing lows before positioning for any meaningful slide for the non-yielding yellow metal.

A convincing breakthrough now seems to accelerate the fall towards intermediate support levels near the $1818 region and the $1810 area. The downward trajectory could further drag the XAU/USD back towards the $1800 mark en-route the $1785 region and November 2020 lows, around the $1765 zone.

On the flip side, immediate resistance is pegged near the $1847-48 region, above which the dollar-denominated commodity is likely to make a fresh attempt to clear the 200-DMA barrier. The XAU/USD might then aim to challenge the next relevant hurdle near the $1875-76 heavy supply zone.

XAU/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1843.49
Today Daily Change0.87
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open1842.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA201840.87
Daily SMA501859.87
Daily SMA1001870.14
Daily SMA2001856.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1855.5
Previous Daily Low1834.14
Previous Weekly High1871.9
Previous Weekly Low1785.02
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1847.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1842.3
Daily Pivot Point S11832.67
Daily Pivot Point S21822.73
Daily Pivot Point S31811.31
Daily Pivot Point R11854.03
Daily Pivot Point R21865.45
Daily Pivot Point R31875.39

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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