Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD sidelined in Asia, eyes fourth-straight weekly gain


  • Gold bulls are taking a breather, having pushed prices to nine-year highs on Wednesday. 
  • Weekly gain looks likely on coronavirus concerns and US-China tensions.
  • A key technical indicator is reporting overbought conditions for first since February. 

Gold is lacking a clear directional bias on Thursday with prices stuck in a trading range of $1,804 to $1,811

The bulls seem to be taking a breather, having engineered a rally from $1,756 to $1,818, a nine-year high, in the last three trading days. 

However, despite the overnight pullback from multi-year highs and the dull trading seen over the past few hours, gold is still up close to 2% on a week-to-date basis. If the metal holds above Monday's opening price of $1,784 through Friday's GMT close, a fourth straight weekly gain would be confirmed. That would be the longest weekly winning streak since December 2019. 

The odds look stacked in favor of gold printing its fourth consecutive weekly gain as number of coronavirus cases in the US, the world's biggest economy, are rising. Additional pessimism may stem from the record US budget deficit and its tensions with China. The US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on Tuesday announced visa restrictions on some Chinese officials under the Reciprocal Access to Tibet Act, 2018. 

Further, continued deflation in China's factory-gate prices, as shown by the producer price index released early Thursday, could keep risk appetite under pressure. As such, the yellow metal is likely to remain better bid while heading into the weekend. 

Indeed, the metal's 14-day relative strength index has crossed above 70  for the first time since February. That overbought reading, however, would gain credence if and when signs of buyer exhaustion emerge on the daily chart. At press time, the daily candles show the bulls are in control. 

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1808.94
Today Daily Change -0.77
Today Daily Change % -0.04
Today daily open 1809.71
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1759.43
Daily SMA50 1733.57
Daily SMA100 1684.39
Daily SMA200 1597.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1818.17
Previous Daily Low 1791.66
Previous Weekly High 1789.28
Previous Weekly Low 1757.7
Previous Monthly High 1785.91
Previous Monthly Low 1670.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1808.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1801.79
Daily Pivot Point S1 1794.86
Daily Pivot Point S2 1780
Daily Pivot Point S3 1768.35
Daily Pivot Point R1 1821.37
Daily Pivot Point R2 1833.02
Daily Pivot Point R3 1847.88

 

 

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