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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD retreats from session highs, eyes 5-day SMA support

  • Gold has backed off from multi-month highs. 
  • Intraday technical charts favor a pullback to key SMA support. 

Gold is trading near $1,952 per ounce, having put in a near two-month high of $1,955 early Wednesday. 

The 4-hour chart shows a bearish divergence of the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The hourly chart RSI is also painting a similar picture. Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI is now reporting overbought conditions with an above-70 print for the first time since August. 

As such, the yellow metal could visit the ascending 5-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support, currently located at $1,927.

The case for a pullback would strengthen if the US Republican party wins both seats or at least one in Georgia elections, retaining Senate's control. That would weaken the case for a bigger fiscal stimulus. As such, the dollar, gold's biggest nemesis, could bounce on Republican victory. The dollar index is currently seen at 89.52.

Gold's broader trend would remain bullish as long as prices are trading above Monday's low of $1,898. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Pullback likely

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1952.92
Today Daily Change3.38
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open1949.54
 
Trends
Daily SMA201876.65
Daily SMA501867.81
Daily SMA1001893.66
Daily SMA2001834.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1953.04
Previous Daily Low1934.38
Previous Weekly High1901.02
Previous Weekly Low1869.32
Previous Monthly High1906.87
Previous Monthly Low1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1945.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1941.51
Daily Pivot Point S11938.27
Daily Pivot Point S21926.99
Daily Pivot Point S31919.61
Daily Pivot Point R11956.93
Daily Pivot Point R21964.31
Daily Pivot Point R31975.59

 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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