|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD remains capped by $1947 ahead of Georgia race – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) holds below the critical $1947 barrier heading into Tuesday’s runoff elections in Georgia. Gold buyers remain hopeful of Democratic control of Congress, as it implies an easier path for President-elect Joe Biden to push for additional fiscal support.

An increase in inflows into gold ETFs combined with a surge in coronavirus cases-led fresh lockdowns also keeps the metal underpinned. Let’s look at the key technical levels for trading gold in the lead up to the critical Georgia vote.   

Gold Price Chart: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that Monday’s 2% rally remains capped below the critical $1947 resistance, which is the pivot point one-month R1.

Only a sustained break above the latter could unleash the further upside, with immediate resistance aligned at $1952, the Bollinger Band four-hour Upper.

The next upside target for the buyers is seen at $1958, where the pivot point one-day R1.

Alternatively, the convergence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and SMA100 15-minutes at $1935 could challenge the retracement from two-week tops.

Further south, the $1929 cushion could limit the declines. That level is the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day.   

Meanwhile, strong support of the pivot point one-week R2 at $1921 will be the level to beat for the bears.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical   Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD advaces beyond 1.3450 after BoE decision, US Q2 GDP

GBP/USD gains positive momentum on Thursday, surpassing 1.3450 and trading at fresh multi-week highs. The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%. The MPC voted 6-3 to keep rates on hold, with the 3 dissenters favoring a rate hike. US Q2 GDP missing expectations helped the pair advance, while renewed US Dollar weakness across the FX board pushed the pair further up ahead of the monthly close.

EUR/USD confortable around 1.1530, highest in six weeks

The EUR/USD pair trades around 1.1530 in the American session on Thursday, reaching fresh six-week highs. The US Dollar is in sell-off mode, with multiple factors weighing on the American currency. Not only did the Federal Reserve vote divided to keep rates on hold on Wednesday, creating doubts about a September hike, but US Q2 GDP missed expectations. A suspected JPY intervention adds pressure on the Greenback.

Gold trades below $4,100 amid rebounding USD; downside seems cushioned

Gold struggles to capitalize on its gains registered over the past two days and trades with a mild negative bias just below $4,100 during the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar recovers slightly from its lowest level since June 17 amid a further escalation of US-Iran tensions, acting as a headwind for the bullion. Meanwhile, signs of cooling US inflation temper Fed rate hike bets, capping the USD and supporting the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bank of Japan set to keep interest rates unchanged after suspected Yen intervention

Investors are turning their attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy announcement on Friday, after the Japanese Yen staged a dramatic rebound during Thursday's American session. The move came amid growing speculation that Japanese authorities intervened in the foreign exchange market after USD/JPY tumbled from above 163.00 to below 158.00 within minutes.

Aave to sunset Sonic, Aptos, zkSync, Scroll reserves, affecting $98 million in supply

Aave is planning to sunset 75 low-activity reserves across its decentralized finance protocol as part of a broader effort to reduce operational, technical and economic risks across its network of deployments.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.