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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD inches higher toward $1,740

  • Gold registers modest daily gains, erases Thursday's losses.
  • US Dollar Index loses its traction after testing 97.00.
  • UoM's Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to improve slightly in June.

The broad-based USD strength witnessed in the second half of the day on Thursday caused the XAU/USD pair to turn south and close the day in the negative territory.

However, the intense flight-to-safety helped the precious metal limits its losses. On Friday, the greenback seems to be having a difficult time preserving its strength and allowing the pair to recover its losses. At the moment, XAU/USD was up 0.5% on the day near $1,737.

USD continues to react to changes in risk perception

Renewed fears over a second coronavirus wave causing lockdowns and delaying the global economic recovery forced investors to seek refuge in safer assets. The US Dollar Index, which fell to a fresh three-month low of 95.72, rose sharply and gained 0.8% on Thursday. However, the index seems to have gone into a consolidation phase near 96.70 after testing 97.00 on Friday.

Reflecting the risk-off environment, Wall Street's main indexes suffered heavy losses and the 10-year US Treasury bond yield lost more than 8%. On Friday, the mood seems to be improving with US stock index futures staying in the positive territory and the 10-year T-bond yield rising 6.5%. 

In the second half of the day, the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index will be looked upon for fresh impetus. More importantly, investors will be keeping a close eye on Wall Street's performance. 

Technical levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1735.99
Today Daily Change9.06
Today Daily Change %0.52
Today daily open1726.93
 
Trends
Daily SMA201723.52
Daily SMA501706.68
Daily SMA1001648.82
Daily SMA2001573.23
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1744.75
Previous Daily Low1721.74
Previous Weekly High1745.12
Previous Weekly Low1670.76
Previous Monthly High1765.38
Previous Monthly Low1670.72
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1730.53
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1735.96
Daily Pivot Point S11717.53
Daily Pivot Point S21708.13
Daily Pivot Point S31694.52
Daily Pivot Point R11740.54
Daily Pivot Point R21754.15
Daily Pivot Point R31763.55

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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