|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD flirts with session lows, downside seems limited

  • Gold witnessed some profit-taking on Friday amid a modest USD short-covering bounce.
  • The underlying cautious mood around the equity markets might help limit the downside.

Gold remained depressed through the first half of the European session and was last seen hovering near daily lows, around the $1880 region.

The precious metal edged lower on the last trading day of the week and retreated further from the vicinity of the $1900 mark, or one-month tops touched on Thursday. Given that the US congressional negotiators are yet to agree over a new coronavirus-relief package, the US dollar witnessed some short-covering bounce amid near-term oversold conditions. This, in turn, was seen as one of the key factors that exerted some downward pressure on the dollar-denominated commodity.

Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned amid the underlying cautious mood around the equity markets, which tends to benefit the safe-haven XAU/USD.  Reuters reported that the US is set to add dozens of Chinese companies, including SMIC, to a trade blacklist. Furthermore, Britain and the European Union struck a downbeat tone about the likelihood of a post-Brexit trade deal. The not so optimistic developments weighed on investors' sentiment and should help limit deeper losses.

Gold, for now, seems to have snapped three consecutive days of the winning streak. However, it will still be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling before confirming that this week's positive move has run out of the steam and positioning for any further downside for gold. There isn't any market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Friday. This leaves the yellow metal at the mercy of the USD price dynamics and the broader market risk sentiment.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1880.14
Today Daily Change-4.26
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open1884.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA201834.9
Daily SMA501872.15
Daily SMA1001906.29
Daily SMA2001813.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1896.3
Previous Daily Low1862.09
Previous Weekly High1875.34
Previous Weekly Low1822.22
Previous Monthly High1965.58
Previous Monthly Low1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1883.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1875.16
Daily Pivot Point S11865.56
Daily Pivot Point S21846.72
Daily Pivot Point S31831.35
Daily Pivot Point R11899.77
Daily Pivot Point R21915.14
Daily Pivot Point R31933.98

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays calm near 1.1650 to begin Fed week

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel near 1.1650 on Monday. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of this week's critical Fed policy meeting, allowing the pair to stay in a consolidation phase following two consecutive weeks of bullish action.

GBP/USD edges lower toward 1.3300 as markets turn cautious

GBP/USD corrects lower toward 1.3300 on Monday after posting gains in the previous week. The markets adopt a cautious stance ahead of the highly-anticipated Fed meeting, making it difficult for the pair to gather bullish momentum. 

Gold remains stuck near $4,200 as markets gear up for Fed

Gold extends its sideways grind at around $4,200 after posting marginal losses last week. The trading action turns subdued on Monday as market participants prepare for the upcoming Fed meeting, which will provide key insights into the short-term policy outlook.

Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).