|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eases from multi-week tops, still comfortable above $1950 level

  • A softer tone surrounding the USD assisted gold to gain some traction on Monday.
  • Speculations of further easing by the Fed further benefitted the non-yielding metal.
  • The prevalent risk-on mood seemed to be the only factor capping any strong gains.

Gold trimmed a part of its early gains to the highest level since mid-September, albeit has still managed to hold in the positive territory. The commodity was last seen trading just above the $1955 level, up 0.30% for the day.

The US dollar remained depressed on the back of the Democratic candidate Joe Biden's victory in a nail-biting US Presidential election. A weaker greenback was seen as one of the key factors that benefitted dollar-denominated commodities, including gold.

Meanwhile, the possibility of a split congress fueled speculations that the Fed will have to ease further to support the economy amid the near-term risk of rising COVID-19 infection. This, in turn, provided an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

However, the upbeat market mood – as depicted by a strong rally in the equity markets – undermined demand for traditional safe-haven assets. The prevalent risk-on environment held bulls from placing fresh bets and kept a lid on any further gains for the precious metal.

That said, the near-term bias still seems tilted firmly in favour of bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains. Hence, any meaningful dip should be seen as a buying opportunity, which should help limit the downside for the XAU/USD, at least for now.

There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Monday. Hence, the USD price dynamics, along with the broader market risk sentiment, will play a key role in influencing the intraday movement and assist traders to grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1956.9
Today Daily Change4.50
Today Daily Change %0.23
Today daily open1952.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA201905.36
Daily SMA501913.73
Daily SMA1001899.24
Daily SMA2001778.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1960.4
Previous Daily Low1935.7
Previous Weekly High1960.4
Previous Weekly Low1873.52
Previous Monthly High1933.3
Previous Monthly Low1860
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1950.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1945.14
Daily Pivot Point S11938.6
Daily Pivot Point S21924.8
Daily Pivot Point S31913.9
Daily Pivot Point R11963.3
Daily Pivot Point R21974.2
Daily Pivot Point R31988

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1850 after US data

EUR/USD struggles to gain traction and trades in a narrow range below 1.1850 on Wednesday. The US Dollar stays resilient against its rivals following the better-than-expected Durable Goods Orders and housing data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of FOMC Minutes. 

GBP/USD stays in narrow channel above 1.3550 ahead of FOMC Minutes

GBP/USD holds its ground following Tuesday's slide and moves sideways above 1.3550 midweek. Although the data from the UK confirmed that inflation cooled in January, the positive shift seen in market mood helps the pair keep its footing as investors wait for the Fed to publish the minnutes of the January policy meeting.

Gold regains some shine, retargets $5,000 ahead of FOMC Minutes

Gold gathers fresh upside traction on Wednesday, leaving part of the weakness seen at the beginning of the week and refocusing its attention to the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce, all ahead of the release of the FOMC Minutes and despite the modest uptick in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.