|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD consolidates the biggest losses in two weeks under $1,900

  • Gold remains depressed near one week low, fails to keep bounces off $1,874.88.
  • US House Leader Mitch McConnel backs President Trump’s rejection of bipartisan stimulus talks.
  • Virus woes regain market attention while Brexit pessimism adds to the risk-off mood.
  • A light calendar in Asia keeps risk catalysts on the driver’s seat.

Gold prices stay pressured around $1,877 during the initial Asian trading on Wednesday. The yellow metal dropped the heaviest since late-September as the market’s risk aversion renewed the US dollar strength the previous day.

No more push to break US stimulus deadlock…

US President Donald Trump lashed out at the opposition Democratic Party while closing door on the face of the efforts to unveil details of the much-awaited American aid package. Following the Republican leader’s announcement, the House Senior McConnell also joined the league to denounce the Democrats’ push for more.

Also adding to the market’s risk aversion wave could be the recent speculations that the European Union (EU) is intentionally stretching Brexit talks and is ready to take the risk of a no-deal divorce. Furthermore, fears of the coronavirus (COVID-19) and the fresh headlines suggesting the UK’s dislike for China exert additional burden onto the sober mood. The forecast from the University of Washington suggests the COVID-19 related deaths in the US will rise to 360,000 by the end of 2020.

It’s worth mentioning that the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s push for more stimulus and downbeat US data could also play their roles to propel the US dollar, which in turn dragged the gold prices downward.

Amid all these catalysts, Wall Street benchmarks flashed red signals whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields dropped 2.8 basis points to 0.734% by the end of Tuesday’s trading. Further, S&P 500 Futures also mark over 0.30% intraday losses while picking up offers around 3,340 by the time of the press.

Moving on, an absence of major data/events in Asia will keep the gold traders directed towards analyzing the risk factors for immediate direction. In doing so, Trump’s health, fiscal stimulus, virus woes and the Brexit are likely the keywords to observe.

Technical analysis

Failures to cross a two-month-old falling trend line drag gold towards revisiting the September month’s low near $1,848.'

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1876.2
Today Daily Change-37.22
Today Daily Change %-1.95%
Today daily open1913.42
 
Trends
Daily SMA201916.56
Daily SMA501945.54
Daily SMA1001854.2
Daily SMA2001734.81
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1918.82
Previous Daily Low1887.06
Previous Weekly High1917.16
Previous Weekly Low1848.82
Previous Monthly High1992.42
Previous Monthly Low1848.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1900.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1906.76
Daily Pivot Point S11885.78
Daily Pivot Point S21874.24
Daily Pivot Point S31858.55
Daily Pivot Point R11913.01
Daily Pivot Point R21928.7
Daily Pivot Point R31940.24

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at three-week highs above 0.7000 on hawkish RBA-speak

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and at three-week highs. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks and inflation concerns underpin the pair. However, the upside appears capped as the US Dollar attracts some buyers amid looming US-Iran uncertainty.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold appears slightly bid above $4,100

Gold prices manage to reverse three consecutive daily declines, trading just above the $4,100 per troy ounce on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s recovery comes amid a humble advance in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields across the board and a widespread cautious tone from the US-Iran front.

Bitcoin eyes a break above $85,000 as institutional demand returns

Bitcoin edges higher above $83,000, extending its rebound from the 50-day EMA near $80,786. US-listed BTC spot ETFs recorded over $23 million in net inflows on Tuesday, following Monday's $526 million, signaling a return of institutional demand.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.