Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD clings to recovery gains above $1750 level, upside seems limited


  • Gold gained some positive traction and recovered a part of Friday’s slump to multi-month lows.
  • Retreating US bond yields weighed on the USD and extended some support to the commodity.
  • The upbeat market mood might keep a lid on any meaningful gains for the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Gold edged higher through the early European session and was last seen hovering near the top end of its daily trading range, just below the $1760 level.

Gold managed to regain positive traction on the first day of a new trading week and has now recovered a part of Friday's slump to eight-month lows. The uptick was supported by a softer tone surrounding the US dollar, which tends to benefit the dollar-denominated commodity. Retreating US Treasury bond yields kept the USD bulls on the defensive and extended some additional support to the non-yielding yellow metal.

It is worth recalling that the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond soared to the highest level in a year amid expectations about a strong economic recovery. The reflation trade also forced investors to price in the possibility for an uptick in inflation, which raised doubts that the Fed would retain ultra-low rates for a longer period and dragged the XAU/USD to its lowest since June 2020 on Friday.

Meanwhile, the impressive pace of COVID-19 vaccinations and the progress in a massive US fiscal spending plan further boosted investors' confidence. In fact, the House of Representatives passed US President Joe Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion pandemic relief package on Saturday. This, in turn, led to a fresh leg up in the equity markets, which might keep a lid on any further gains for the safe-haven XAU/USD.

This makes it prudent to wait for a sustained move beyond the $1760-65 region before confirming that the commodity has bottomed out in the near-term and positioning for any further appreciating move. Market participants now look forward to the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for some short-term trading impetus.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1757.96
Today Daily Change 31.04
Today Daily Change % 1.80
Today daily open 1726.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1807.3
Daily SMA50 1845.18
Daily SMA100 1858.18
Daily SMA200 1860.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1775.9
Previous Daily Low 1717.24
Previous Weekly High 1816.07
Previous Weekly Low 1717.24
Previous Monthly High 1871.9
Previous Monthly Low 1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1739.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1753.49
Daily Pivot Point S1 1704.14
Daily Pivot Point S2 1681.36
Daily Pivot Point S3 1645.48
Daily Pivot Point R1 1762.8
Daily Pivot Point R2 1798.68
Daily Pivot Point R3 1821.46

 

 

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