|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD braces for a free fall below $1673 – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) is wallowing near three-week lows below $1700, undermined by the relentless rise in the US Treasury yields, as investors await the details of the next fiscal stimulus from US President Joe Biden later on Wednesday.

Strengthening US economic recovery and higher inflation expectations continue to drive yields higher, which weigh negatively on the non-interest-bearing gold. Further, broad-based US dollar strength amid quarter-end flows also adds to the bearish pressures on the bright metal.

How is gold positioned on the technical charts?

Gold Price Chart: Key resistance and support levels

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold flirting with $1679, which is the convergence of the previous day low and previous low on four-hour.

Minor support at the Bollinger Band four-hour lower of $1676 could limit the declines.

The next significant downside cushion awaits at $1673, the pivot point one-month S1, below which a free fall could be expected towards the $1650 psychological level.  

On the flip side, gold bulls are likely to face an uphill battle on the road to recovery, with immediate upside likely to be capped around $1785, which is the Bollinger Band one-day lower.

Further up, the intersection of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and the previous high on four-hour at $1687 could challenge the bullish commitments.

The confluence zone around $1690 will likely be a tough nut to crack for the XAU bulls. At that point, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day coincides with the Bollinger Band one-hour Upper.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces the next support around 1.1600

EUR/USD comes under pressure and retreats for the fourth day in a row on Tuesday, coming closer to the key 1.1600 neighbourhood amid a decent rebound in the US Dollar ahead of the largely expected 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

GBP/USD extends mean reversion as investors brace for Fed

GBP/USD eased back toward the midrange on Tuesday, shedding around one-fifth of one percent after facing an intraday technical rejection from the 1.3350 level. Price action has slumped back into the 1.3300 handle and is holding just north of the long-term 200-day Exponential Moving Average near 1.3250 as markets hunker down for the last Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision of 2025.

Gold defends key 61.8% Fibo level ahead of the Fed showdown

Gold is defending the $4,200 mark early Wednesday, having staged a decent comeback on Tuesday from near the $4,170 region. Traders gear up for the all-important US Federal Reserve policy announcements.  

Crypto bulls return as Bitcoin eyes breakout, Ethereum surges, Ripple strengthens

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are showing renewed strength at the time of writing on Wednesday as bullish momentum returns to the broader crypto market. BTC is edging toward a key resistance level that could trigger a breakout, ETH has surged above its descending trendline, while XRP is holding steady above key support — all signaling potential for further upside in the upcoming days.

Global economic outlook 2026: Financial system risk, trade, public debt

The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure amid mixed technical signals 

Bitcoin is trading above $90,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday amid sticky risk-off sentiment in the broader crypto market. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are paring losses, holding above key support levels.