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Gold: Flatlined after the biggest weekly gain since September

  • Gold rallied by 1% last week, tracking the weakness in the US dollar. 
  • Fed's balance sheet expansion could keep gold better bid. 

Gold is lacking a clear directional bias in Asia, having eked out its biggest weekly gain in nearly three months.

The yellow metal is currently trading at $1,474 per Oz, representing little or no change on the day.

Gold ended last week with a 1.07% gain - the biggest rise since the final week of September. Back then, the metal had rallied by 1.89%.

Dovish Fed

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) on Dec. 11 kept rates steady at 1.5-1.75% and signaled a rate cut pause for 2020. Powell, however, cited persistent high inflation as a prerequisite for interest rate hikes, sending the US dollar lower across the board.

The dollar index, which tracks the value of the greenback against majors, declined by 0.51% last week, having shed 0.60% in the previous week.

The weakness in the US dollar helped gold print a 1% gain despite the US-China phase one trade deal and Brexit optimism.

Fed's balance sheet expansion

The Fed is set to bloat its balance sheet further, having expanded it more than $300 billion since mid-September. 

The central bank is planning to offer a total of $490 billion in liquidity via repo operations for the turn of the year, including the $75 billion that it has already pumped in through three earlier term actions, according to Bloomberg. 

As a result, the balance sheet is seen expanding to $4.5 trillion next month from the current $4.1 trillion.

Historically, gold has cheered the Fed's balance sheet expansion.

Gold technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1474.1
Today Daily Change-2.40
Today Daily Change %-0.16
Today daily open1476.5
 
Trends
Daily SMA201466.79
Daily SMA501479.45
Daily SMA1001489.76
Daily SMA2001409.57
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1478.1
Previous Daily Low1462.82
Previous Weekly High1486.58
Previous Weekly Low1458.82
Previous Monthly High1515.38
Previous Monthly Low1445.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1472.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1468.66
Daily Pivot Point S11466.85
Daily Pivot Point S21457.19
Daily Pivot Point S31451.57
Daily Pivot Point R11482.13
Daily Pivot Point R21487.75
Daily Pivot Point R31497.41

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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