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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eases from tops, up little below $1940 level

  • A turnaround in the equity markets extended some support to the commodity’s safe-haven status.
  • The USD built on the post-FOMC minutes positive move and capped any strong gains for the metal.
  • Concerns about the US economic recovery helped limit any meaningful downfall, at least for now.

Gold refreshed daily lows during the mid-European session, albeit quickly recovered thereafter and was last seen trading with modest gains, around the $1936 region.

A turnaround in the global risk sentiment – as depicted by a steep decline in the equity markets – provided a modest lift to the precious metal's safe-haven status. The anti-risk flow was reinforced by a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields, which extended some additional support to the non-yielding yellow metal.

However, some follow-through US dollar buying interest kept a lid on any strong gains for the dollar-denominated commodity, instead prompted some selling at higher levels. The greenback was back in demand after minutes from the last FOMC meeting held on July 28-29 failed to offer a clear hint of a shift to looser policy in the months ahead.

However, the uncertainty over the next round of the US fiscal stimulus and concerns about the US economic recovery amid the ever-increasing coronavirus cases held investors from placing aggressive bearish bets. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that helped limit any deeper losses for the metal, at least for the time being.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Initial Weekly Jobless Claims. The data might influence the USD price dynamics, which along with the broader market risk sentiment might produce some short-term trading opportunities on Thursday.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1936.26
Today Daily Change7.10
Today Daily Change %0.37
Today daily open1929.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA201969.87
Daily SMA501855.01
Daily SMA1001779.49
Daily SMA2001662.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2006.73
Previous Daily Low1924.83
Previous Weekly High2049.96
Previous Weekly Low1863.24
Previous Monthly High1984.8
Previous Monthly Low1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1956.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1975.44
Daily Pivot Point S11900.42
Daily Pivot Point S21871.67
Daily Pivot Point S31818.52
Daily Pivot Point R11982.32
Daily Pivot Point R22035.47
Daily Pivot Point R32064.22

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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