|

Gold: Demand for put options drops as prices rise

  • Gold's risk reversals rise, indicating a drop in demand for puts. 
  • The uptick validates the recovery rally in gold. 

With gold rising for the third straight day, the options market is shedding the bearish bias on the yellow metal. 

The anti-risk yellow metal is currently trading at $1,571 per ounce, representing a 1% gain on the day, having tested the 50-day average hurdle at $1,583 during the early Asian trading hours. Gold gained 3.7% and 1.89% on Monday and Friday, respectively. 

Meanwhile, one-month risk reversals, a gauge of calls to puts, has risen to -4.3, having increased from -6.52 to -4.65 on Monday and hit a low of -9.925 on Friday. 

The rise in the risk reversals represents a weakening demand or the implied volatility premium for the put options (bearish bets) and validates the recovery rally in prices. That said, the number remains negative, meaning the demand for puts is still greater than that for calls (bullish bets). 

A put option gives the holder the right to sell gold at an agreed price on or before a particular date. A call option gives the holder the right to buy. 

Risk reversals

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD jumps to 0.7050, fresh one-month top after hot Australian CPI

AUD/USD attracts buyers for the second straight day on Wednesday, rising to a fresh high since September 23 during the Asian session. A hot Australian CPI print reaffirmed bets for an imminent RBA rate hike in November and boosted the Australian Dollar. Meanwhile, the US Dollar pauses after a three-day rally to a near two-week high ahead of the crucial FOMC rate decision, lending additional support to the currency pair.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold sticks to intraday losses below $4,050 as USD retains bullish bias ahead of FOMC

Gold remains offered below $4,050 during Wednesday's early European session, snapping a two-day winning streak ahead of the key central bank event. The US Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its policy decision later today and is widely expected to keep rates unchanged. Meanwhile, the focus will remain on the accompanying monetary policy statement and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's comments during the post-meeting press conference.

Zcash's bullish momentum mounts on steady ETF inflows, retail confidence

Zcash extends steady recovery above $1,300 on Wednesday, approaching a key resistance near $1,373. Grayscale’s ZEC-focused Exchange-Traded Fund sees persistent buying pressure, with six straight days of inflows, including more than $3 million on Tuesday.

FOMC outlook: Why keeping rates unchanged might not be enough
Tomorrow's FOMC meeting could be quite interesting, even if the Federal Reserve decides to leave interest rates unchanged. According to the latest market expectations, there is currently a 92.8% probability that rates will remain at 3.75–4.00%, while the probability of another 25 basis point increase stands at just 7.2%.
Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.