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Gold consolidates in a range, below $1950 level

  • Gold struggled to capitalize on the previous day’s goodish intraday positive move.
  • A combination of factors extended some support and might help limit the downside.
  • Bulls might need to wait for some follow-through buying before placing fresh bets.

Gold lacked any firm directional bias and was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band, just below the $1950 region through the early European session.

The precious metal failed to capitalize on the previous day's positive move of around $30 and remained capped below one-week-old resistance near the $1951 horizontal level. The overnight bounce was sponsored by the emergence of some fresh selling around the US dollar, which tends to underpin the dollar-denominated commodity.

The greenback weakened across the board amid a strong pickup in the shared currency after the European Central Bank (ECB) expressed confidence in the EU's economic outlook. The ECB is scheduled to announce its monetary policy decision later this Thursday. This, in turn, might influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus.

This coupled with a fresh leg down in the US equity futures extended some additional support to the precious metal's safe-haven status. The anti-risk flow was further reinforced by a weaker tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields, which was also cited as one of the key factors benefitting the non-yielding yellow metal.

Despite the supporting factors, the upside remains capped, at least for the time being, warranting some caution for bullish traders. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further near-term appreciating move, possibly towards the next major hurdle near the $1970-71 region.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1945.78
Today Daily Change-0.75
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1946.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA201948.01
Daily SMA501912.93
Daily SMA1001819.8
Daily SMA2001697.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1950.9
Previous Daily Low1920.16
Previous Weekly High1992.42
Previous Weekly Low1916.42
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1939.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1931.9
Daily Pivot Point S11927.49
Daily Pivot Point S21908.46
Daily Pivot Point S31896.75
Daily Pivot Point R11958.23
Daily Pivot Point R21969.94
Daily Pivot Point R31988.97

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.