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GBPUSD stuggles to gather recovery momentum, trades below 1.2100

  • GBP/USD stays under constant bearish pressure on Monday.
  • The greenback preserves its strength despite disappointing data. 
  • Focus shifts to US housing data, UK July jobs report.

GBP/USD started the week under bearish pressure and dropped to a weekly low of 1.2051 in the European session. Although the pair staged a rebound toward 1.2100, it failed to reclaim that level. As of writing, the pair was down 0.3% on the day at 1.2090.

Dollar capitalizes on safe-haven flows

The negative shift witnessed in risk sentiment on Monday provides a boost to the safe-haven greenback. Disappointing macroeconomic data releases from China alongside the escalating geopolitical tensions don't allow risk-sensitive assets to find demand.

Meanwhile, the data from the US showed on Monday that the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index slumped to -31.3 in August from 11.1 in July. The dollar lost some strength as this print missed analysts' forecast of 8.5 by a wide margin but the US Dollar Index managed to hold above 106.00.

Later in the session, the NAHB Housing Market Index data from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus. Meanwhile, Wall Street's main indexes remain on track to open deep in negative territory with US stock index futures losing between 0.45% and 0.7% on the day.

On Tuesday, the UK's Office for National Statistics will release the July jobs report. Investors expect the ILO Unemployment Rate to remain steady at 3.8% in the three-month period ending in July.

Reuters reported that 30 of 51 economists that took part in a recently conducted survey saw the Bank of England raising its policy rate by 50 basis points in September but this report failed to help the sterling find demand.

Technical levels to watch for

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2088
Today Daily Change-0.0050
Today Daily Change %-0.41
Today daily open1.2138
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2099
Daily SMA501.2138
Daily SMA1001.2425
Daily SMA2001.2913
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2217
Previous Daily Low1.21
Previous Weekly High1.2277
Previous Weekly Low1.2048
Previous Monthly High1.2246
Previous Monthly Low1.176
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2145
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2172
Daily Pivot Point S11.2086
Daily Pivot Point S21.2034
Daily Pivot Point S31.1968
Daily Pivot Point R11.2204
Daily Pivot Point R21.227
Daily Pivot Point R31.2322

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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