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GBP/USD turns positive post-UK Services PMI, refreshes session tops near 1.4185 area

  • GBP/USD reversed an intraday dip and turned positive for the second straight session.
  • An upward revision of the UK Services PMI added to the optimistic UK economic outlook.
  • A broad-based USD strength kept a lid on any further gains ahead of the US macro data.

The GBP/USD pair rallied nearly 40 pips in the last hour and refreshed daily tops, around the 1.4185 region in reaction to upbeat UK Services PMI.

According to IHS Markit, the recover in the UK services sector gained further momentum in May amid the resurgent business and consumer spending in response to looser pandemic restrictions. The final UK Services PMI was revised higher to 62.9 for May from 61.8 flash estimate, which pointed to the fastest rate of output growth in 24 years. The data validated the optimistic outlook for the UK economic recovery and provided a modest lift to the British pound.

This comes on the back of indications that the Bank of England could raise rates well into next year, which further acted as a tailwind for the sterling and remained supportive. It is worth recalling that the BoE policymaker Gertjan Vlieghe indicated last week that the central bank was likely to raise rates earlier if the economy rebounds more quickly than expected. That said, a broad-based US dollar strength kept a lid on any further gains for the GBP/USD pair.

The USD found some support from growing nervousness about whether a surprisingly stronger US economic data could force the Fed to start tapering its bond-buying program sooner rather than later. This, along with a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields, further underpinned the buck. Apart from this, a cautious mood around the equity markets also benefitted the greenback's safe-haven status and might hold bulls from placing aggressive bets around the GBP/USD pair.

Market participants now look forward to Thursday's US economic docket – featuring the releases of the ADP report on private-sector employment, the Initial Weekly Jobless Claims and ISM Services PMI. The key focus, however, will remain on Friday's US monthly jobs report (NFP). In the meantime, the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment might influence the USD price dynamics, which might provide some trading impetus to the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.4179
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open1.4171
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4124
Daily SMA501.395
Daily SMA1001.3889
Daily SMA2001.3543
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4183
Previous Daily Low1.4111
Previous Weekly High1.4219
Previous Weekly Low1.4092
Previous Monthly High1.4234
Previous Monthly Low1.3801
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4156
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.4139
Daily Pivot Point S11.4127
Daily Pivot Point S21.4083
Daily Pivot Point S31.4055
Daily Pivot Point R11.4199
Daily Pivot Point R21.4227
Daily Pivot Point R31.4271

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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