|

GBP/USD trims some of its weekly losses, clings to 1.3540’s

  • The risk-on market sentiment struck government bond yields and the US dollar.
  • UK’s IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI came at 57.1, better than expected.
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI shows expansion in the overall economy, according to the ISM.

The GBP/USD is staging a recovery, trading at 1.3547, up more than a half percent during the day at the time of writing. The British pound comeback has been substantial, as it paired more than half of its losses of the last three days.

Risk-on market sentiment improvement weighed on the US dollar

Market sentiment improved throughout the New York session. US stock indices finished the week in the green. The S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial, and the Nasdaq Composite recorded gains of 1.15%, 1.43%, and 0.82%, respectively. Meanwhile, the US T-bond yields fell for the second day in a row, with the 10-year benchmark note falling short of 1.50%. In the same tenor, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the buck’s performance against six rivals, closed at 94.07, lost 0.20%.

During the European session, the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply and IHS Markit Economics released the situation in the UK manufacturing sector (PMI). The figure rose to 57.1, better than 56.3 foreseen by analysts. Despite the superb reading, Rob Dobson, Director of HIS Markit, commented that “production growth is severely impacted by the ongoing strain across supply chains and, with demand far exceeding supply, the inevitable result has been higher prices, which will ultimately hurt the pockets of consumers.”

Across the pond, the Fed’s favorite figure for inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Index for August, heightened by 3.6% on a year-over-year basis, as foreseen.

Moreover, the Consumer Confidence released by the University of Michigan rose to 72.8 more than 71 foreseen. Although it remained near pandemic lows, American citizens are somewhat more optimistic about current economic conditions.

Additionally, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September rose to 61.1, better than the 59.6 expected by analysts. 

“Manufacturing performed well for the 16th straight month, with demand, consumption, and inputs registering monthly growth, despite continuing unprecedented obstacles and ever-increasing demand. Panelists’ companies and their supply chains continue to struggle to meet demand due to difficulties in hiring and a clear cycle of labor turnover, as workers opt for more attractive job opportunities,” ISM Chair Timothy Fiore said.

In the UK’s docket, medium to high-tier economic data is absent in the next week. On the other hand, the American economic docket will feature the US ISM Services PMI for September to be released on Tuesday. Further, on Wednesday, the ADP Employment for September could prelude how the Nonfarm Payrolls reading could be once it is released on Friday.

KEY ADDITIONAL LEVELS TO WATCH

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3547
Today Daily Change0.0073
Today Daily Change %0.54
Today daily open1.3474
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3723
Daily SMA501.3776
Daily SMA1001.3878
Daily SMA2001.3844
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3518
Previous Daily Low1.3416
Previous Weekly High1.3752
Previous Weekly Low1.361
Previous Monthly High1.3913
Previous Monthly Low1.3412
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3479
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3455
Daily Pivot Point S11.342
Daily Pivot Point S21.3367
Daily Pivot Point S31.3318
Daily Pivot Point R11.3522
Daily Pivot Point R21.3571
Daily Pivot Point R31.3624

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD breaks 0.7000 as RBA inflation warning fuels two-week high

The Australian Dollar registers solid gains versus the Greenback, climbing above 0.7000 and hitting a two-week high of 0.7017 as broad US Dollar weakness pushes AUD/USD above 0.7000 amid a light economic docket in both Australia and the US.

USD/JPY flatlines near 158.50 as markets seek direction

USD/JPY steadies around 158.50 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of Japan’s National Consumer Price Index inflation data later on Friday. Meanwhile, elevated US bond yields provide some support to the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen.

Gold just failed at $4,150. This is the next stop

Gold prices trade without a clear direction on Tuesday, hovering around the $4,170 region per troy ounce and still struggling to regain upside traction following Monday’s pullback. In the meantime, lower US Treasury yields and a marked pullback in the US Dollar come in tandem with the yellow metal’s price action.

 Bitcoin resumes Nasdaq correlation as macro pressures threaten $82,500 support

Bitcoin's (BTC) correlation with the Nasdaq is rising again after last week's decline alongside tech stocks, even as macro pressures place the $82,500 support at risk. In a report on Tuesday, K33 Research highlighted that Bitcoin has resumed its correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq after last week's price movements.

SpaceX's earnings don't matter. What they unlock does

The Elon Musk-founded SpaceX reports third-quarter results after Tuesday's session. The figure that decides the next month for the stock isn't in them. On Thursday, the second full trading day after the release, up to 1.3 billion shares held by employees and early investors become eligible for sale.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.