GBP/USD technical analysis: Clings to modest gains, just above 1.2300 handle post-UK macro data


  • Stages a modest recovery from three-week lows but lacks follow-through.
  • Attempted recovery moves might still be seen as a selling opportunity.

The GBP/USD pair built on its modest intraday up-move and climbed back above the 1.2300 handle, reversing a major part of Friday's slide to near three-week lows, albeit lacked any follow-through post-UK macro releases.
 
From a technical perspective, bulls managed to defend a support marked by 50% Fibo. level of the 1.1959-1.2582 recent strong recovery move, which should now act as a key pivotal point for the pair's near-term trajectory.
 
Below the mentioned support, around the 1.2270 region, the pair is likely to accelerate the slide further towards the 1.2240-35 intermediate support en-route 61.8% Fibo. level - near the 1.2200 round-figure mark.
 
On the flip side, any meaningful recovery attempt now seems more likely to confront some fresh supply and remain capped near an important confluence support breakpoint, now turned resistance near the 1.2335-40 region.
 
Meanwhile, technical indicators on the 1-hourly chart have been gaining some positive traction but maintained their bearish bias on 4-hourly/daily charts, suggesting that upticks might still be seen as a selling opportunity.
 
Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained move beyond the 1.2335-40 confluence barrier before confirming that the pair's near-term corrective slide is already over and positioning for any further appreciating move.

GBP/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2314
Today Daily Change 0.0026
Today Daily Change % 0.21
Today daily open 1.2288
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2358
Daily SMA50 1.2266
Daily SMA100 1.2456
Daily SMA200 1.2732
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2341
Previous Daily Low 1.2271
Previous Weekly High 1.2504
Previous Weekly Low 1.2271
Previous Monthly High 1.231
Previous Monthly Low 1.2015
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2298
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2314
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2259
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.223
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2189
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2329
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.237
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2399

 

 

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