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GBP/USD remains capped below 1.2700, US Services PMI eyed

  • GBP/USD loses ground as the USD trades with mild gains on Monday.
  • The markets were confident the rate-hike cycle was done, although Powell emphasized the Fed's willingness to tighten policy further if necessary.
  • UK S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI climbed to 47.2 in November vs. 46.7 prior, better than expected.

The GBP/USD pair holds below the 1.2700 mark during the Asian session on Monday. However, the downside of the pair seems limited as the speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is done with its tightening cycle exerts pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and creates a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. The major currently trades around 1.2680, down 0.23% on the day.

The markets turned cautious following dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the highly-anticipated employment report on Friday that could influence the outlook for US interest rates. Powell stated that it was clear that US monetary policy was slowing the economy as expected, with the benchmark overnight interest rate well into restrictive territory.

While Powell emphasized the Fed's willingness to tighten policy further if necessary, markets were confident the rate-hike cycle was done. This, in turn, weighs on the Greenback across the board.

On the GBP’s front, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said last week that the central bank would do whatever it takes to achieve its 2% inflation objective, but that he has not seen enough progress to be confident. On Friday, UK S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI climbed to 47.2 in November from 46.7 in October, above the market consensus of 46.6.

In the absence of economic data released from the UK docket this week, the GBP/USD pair remains at the mercy of USD price dynamics. On Tuesday, the US ISM Services PMI will be due, which is expected to grow from 51.8 to 52.0. The highlight this week will be the US Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday. The US economy is estimated to add 180K jobs in November. Traders will take cues from these figures and find trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.268
Today Daily Change-0.0029
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open1.2709
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2473
Daily SMA501.2298
Daily SMA1001.2482
Daily SMA2001.2472
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2716
Previous Daily Low1.2614
Previous Weekly High1.2733
Previous Weekly Low1.2591
Previous Monthly High1.2733
Previous Monthly Low1.2096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2677
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2653
Daily Pivot Point S11.2643
Daily Pivot Point S21.2577
Daily Pivot Point S31.2541
Daily Pivot Point R11.2746
Daily Pivot Point R21.2782
Daily Pivot Point R31.2848

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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