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GBP/USD rallies amidst Greenback weakness on upbeat market mood

  • GBP/USD rebounds from a daily low of 1.2037, despite UK Services PMI and Composite figures indicating a contraction in business activity.
  • US ADP Employment Change report and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI reveal a slowdown in private sector hiring and service sector activity, respectively.
  • Despite the lack of supportive UK economic data, the GBP finds support amidst a generally weakening US Dollar and positive market sentiment.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) rallies against the US Dollar (USD) even though the latest round of UK economic data didn’t support the advance of Sterling, but overall weakness on the Greenback keeps most G8 FX currencies underpinned. The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2135 after sliding to a monthly low of 1.2037 earlier in the European session.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.2140, as the Greenback's overall weakness and upbeat market sentiment overshadow uninspiring UK economic figures

An upbeat market sentiment is also boosting the British Pound. The latest UK economic docket showed that business activity slightly improved, as S& Global /CIPS revealed. The Services PMI and Composite figures jumped but remained below the 50 expansion/contraction threshold, it showed that consumer spending is shrinking.

In the United States, private sector hiring slowed in September, as indicated by the ADP Employment Change report, with a gain of 89,000 jobs. This figure was below the estimated 153,000 jobs and declined from August 177,000. Additionally, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI reported a business activity index of 53.6 in the services sector for September, which was as expected but decreased from the previous month's reading of 54.5.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD remains tilted to the downside from a daily chart standpoint. Still, price action during the last couple of days formed a ‘bullish engulfing’ candlestick chart pattern, suggesting that further upside is expected. Next, resistance emerges at the 1.2200 figure, followed by the October 2 high at 1.2219. Once those levels are cleared, the major could challenge September 29, the last cycle high at 1.2271, which could pave the way to test the 200-day moving average (DMA). Nevertheless, if GBP/USD remains below 1.2270, that could pave the way to test 1.2000, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.1802.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2138
Today Daily Change0.0061
Today Daily Change %0.51
Today daily open1.2077
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2323
Daily SMA501.2557
Daily SMA1001.2615
Daily SMA2001.2437
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2102
Previous Daily Low1.2052
Previous Weekly High1.2272
Previous Weekly Low1.2111
Previous Monthly High1.2713
Previous Monthly Low1.2111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2071
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2083
Daily Pivot Point S11.2052
Daily Pivot Point S21.2028
Daily Pivot Point S31.2003
Daily Pivot Point R11.2102
Daily Pivot Point R21.2127
Daily Pivot Point R31.2151

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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