|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Under pressure between 21-day SMA and 50% Fibonacci

  • GBP/USD remains below 50% Fibonacci retracement for two weeks in a row.
  • An ascending trend line since early-November acts as strong support.
  • An upside break beyond Wednesday’s high could challenge the monthly top.

GBP/USD remains mildly negative while trading near 1.3120 during the Asian session on Friday. The pair took a U-turn from 50% Fibonacci retracement of its November-December 2019 upside on the previous day. Even so, prices carry the 21-day SMA breakout registered on Wednesday.

Hence, a daily closing beyond the 45-pip range between 1.3145 and 1.3100, including 50% Fibonacci retracement and 21-day SMA respectively, becomes necessary for the pair to register increased volatility.

61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3054 and an upward sloping trend line stretched since early November at 1.3000 now, can question the sellers during the pair’s downside below 1.3100.

Should there be increased selling under 1.3000 mark, December monthly low near 1.2900 will lure the bears.

Alternatively, the monthly high surrounding 1.3285 will be the buyers’ choice if prices manage to cross 1.3145. Further, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and December month top, near 1.3340 and 1.3515, will be in focus during the pair’s rise after 1.3285.

GBP/USD daily chart

Trend: Sideways

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3119
Today Daily Change-1 pip
Today Daily Change %-0.01%
Today daily open1.312
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3092
Daily SMA501.3053
Daily SMA1001.2831
Daily SMA2001.2691
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3152
Previous Daily Low1.3097
Previous Weekly High1.312
Previous Weekly Low1.2954
Previous Monthly High1.3515
Previous Monthly Low1.2896
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3118
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3131
Daily Pivot Point S11.3094
Daily Pivot Point S21.3068
Daily Pivot Point S31.3039
Daily Pivot Point R11.3149
Daily Pivot Point R21.3178
Daily Pivot Point R31.3204

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.