|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Testing strong resistance area, bears waiting to fade

  • GBP/USD has reached a key level of resistance structure.
  • The distribution perceived as the next thing to come from GBP could lead to a 4HR swing trading opportunity. 

GBP/USD is testing a strong resistance area which gives rise to a potential high probability shorting opportunity as follows:

Live D1 chart

The price action has been monitored since the following article was published:

as expected, as evidently illustrated below in the previous charts, cable was expected to climb to test the resistance:

Prior D1 chart

Prior 4HR setup charts

As can be observed, all is going to plan and we now need to see bearish conditions as the price is rejected at the current resistance area:

The market still has some leg work to do, but this a pair that can go on the watchlist and the downside fits the bearish Brexit narrative well.

Similarly, stubbornly long CFTC positioning highlights downside risks and the recent rise of no-deal Brexit probability bodes ill for the rather complacent sterling. 

Compared to previous risks of a hard Brexit, GBP positing in at surprisingly high levels. 

Then, when looking to the DXY for further confirmation, there is a bullish technical picture there as well:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains around 1.1800

EUR/USD manages to regain composure and retests the 1.1800 region in quite a positive start to the week. The pair’s bounce follows the US Dollar’s offered stance post-SCOTUS ruling ahead of important US data and Fedspeak on Tuesday.

GBP/USD treads water near 1.3500 as BoE-Fed divergence debate stalls

GBP/USD spent Monday spinning in place as market participants await a fresh catalyst to break the pair out of its recent range. The BoE's February hold came with a surprisingly dovish 5-4 split, and UK Consumer Price Index data last week showed inflation easing to 3.0%, reinforcing the case for earlier rate cuts, with most economists now looking to April or March for the next move. 

Gold climbs above $5,200 on geopolitical tensions, trade uncertainty

Gold price jumps to around $5,230 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by heightened geopolitical tensions and global trade uncertainty following US tariff decisions. Traders brace for the US January Producer Price Index report on Friday for fresh impetus. 

Solana DeFi platform Step Finance to close operations following treasury hack

The Solana based decentralized finance platform Step Finance announced it will end all operations effective immediately following a breach that drained its treasury.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.