|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rebound remains capped below 1.3800

  • GBP/USD makes an impressive comeback amid broad risk-aversion.
  • The cable bulls face stiff resistance at 1.3800, bearish bias remains intact.
  • Impending bear cross and RSI sub-50 level keep sellers in control.

GBP/USD is attempting a recovery amid broad risk-aversion, as the pound outperforms across the fx board so far this Thursday.

The rebound in the cable from 1.3760 could be associated with fresh selling seen in the US dollar, as the relentless slide in the Treasury yields drags the greenback lower.

Resurgent covid concerns and its likely hit to the global economic turnaround continue to dampen the investors’ sentiment.

However, the pound emerges the strongest amongst the lot amid Britain’s relative success in vaccinations. The UK boasts of the highest number of doses administered per 100 people across the world.

From a near-term technical perspective, the currency pair’s four-hour chart shows that the price has managed to bounce off ascending trendline support at 1.3761.

However, the recovery appears elusive amid an impending bear cross, with the 21-Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the verge of cutting the 50-SMA from above.

Further, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 level, despite ticking slightly higher, which keeps the selling interest intact.

If the bears yield a decisive break below the mentioned support, a drop towards 1.3700 cannot be ruled out.

GBP/USD hourly chart

To the upside, the GBP bulls need a four-hourly close above the 1.3824 resistance, the confluence of the 21 and 50-SMAs, in order to negate the near-term bearish momentum.

Buyers would then target the 1.3850 level on their road to recovery.

GBP/USD additional levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3782
Today Daily Change-0.0020
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open1.38
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3921
Daily SMA501.4022
Daily SMA1001.3949
Daily SMA2001.3664
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3842
Previous Daily Low1.3754
Previous Weekly High1.394
Previous Weekly Low1.3732
Previous Monthly High1.4249
Previous Monthly Low1.3787
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3808
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3787
Daily Pivot Point S11.3756
Daily Pivot Point S21.3711
Daily Pivot Point S31.3668
Daily Pivot Point R11.3844
Daily Pivot Point R21.3887
Daily Pivot Point R31.3931

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).