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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Impending bear cross keeps sellers hopeful around 1.2250

  • GBP/USD fades week-start rebound, seesaws inside short-term triangle.
  • MACD signals join downbeat moving average crossover to suggest further declines, 1.2200 holds the key to welcome bears
  • SMA convergence appears a tough nut to crack for buyers.

GBP/USD remains sidelined around the mid-1.2200s as it funnels down to the short-term triangle break during early Tuesday’s Asian session.

The cable pair began the week on a positive note but fails to stay firmer as the receding bullish bias of the MACD joins the looming bearish moving average crossover between the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA.

While the 100-SMA’s clear downside break of the 200-SMA from above could tease the sellers, a confirmation is needed before forming a downside bias.

As a result, a short-term triangle will be in focus and hence the GBP/USD pair’s declines below the 1.2200 become necessary for the bearish confirmation.

Following that, the cable pair could quickly drop to 1.2100 threshold before challenging the multi-month low around 1.1935 marked the last week.

Alternatively, an upside clearance of the 1.2290 hurdle could defy the bear cross and propel the quote towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May 26 to June 16 downside, around 1.2390.

However, a convergence of the stated key SMAs, near 1.2410 by the press time, appears a strong resistance to cross for the GBP/USD buyers before taking control.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2249
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.06%
Today daily open1.2242
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2455
Daily SMA501.2561
Daily SMA1001.2935
Daily SMA2001.323
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2365
Previous Daily Low1.2173
Previous Weekly High1.2407
Previous Weekly Low1.1934
Previous Monthly High1.2667
Previous Monthly Low1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2246
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2292
Daily Pivot Point S11.2155
Daily Pivot Point S21.2068
Daily Pivot Point S31.1962
Daily Pivot Point R11.2347
Daily Pivot Point R21.2452
Daily Pivot Point R31.254

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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