GBP/USD Price Analysis: Climbs to fresh daily high, above mid-1.2400s amid weaker USD

GBP/USD attracts some dip-buying on Thursday and turns positive for the third straight day.
Retreating US bond yields undermine the safe-haven USD and lend support to the major.
Bets for a 25 bps BoE rate hike in May act as a tailwind for the GBP and remain supportive.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The GBP/USD pair reverses an intraday dip to the 1.2400 round-figure mark and turns positive for the third successive day on Thursday. The pair, however, remain below the weekly high touched on Wednesday and trades around the 1.2450-1.2455 region, just below the weekly high touched on Wednesday.

The US Treasury bond yields stall the recent strong rally to a nearly one-month high, which, along with the disappointing US macro data, exerts some pressure on the US Dollar (USD). Apart from this, rising bets for another 25 bps rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE) in May underpin the British Pound and act as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair.

That said, the prospects for further policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) should help limit the downside for the US bond yields. Furthermore, the risk-off impulse - as depicted by a generally weaker tone around the equity markets - could revive demand for the safe-haven Greenback and keep a lid on any meaningful gains for the GBP/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, spot prices this week found a decent support near the 1.2355-1.2350 region. The said area should now act as a pivotal point, which if broken might prompt some technical selling. The GBP/USD pair could then slide to the 1.2300 mark en route to the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), just below the 1.2200 round figure.

On the flip side, bulls might wait for some follow-through buying beyond the overnight swing high, around the 1.2470-1.2475 region, before placing fresh bets. The GBP/USD pair might then surpass the 1.2500 psychological mark and then aim back to retesting the monthly swing high, around the 1.2545 region touched last week.

The momentum could get extended towards the 1.2600 round figure, above which spot prices could climb to the next relevant hurdle near the 1.2660-1.2665 region.

GBP/USD 4-hour chart

Key levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.2443
Today Daily Change	0.0003
Today Daily Change %	0.02
Today daily open	1.244

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2394
Daily SMA50	1.2195
Daily SMA100	1.2194
Daily SMA200	1.1921

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2474
Previous Daily Low	1.2392
Previous Weekly High	1.2546
Previous Weekly Low	1.2344
Previous Monthly High	1.2424
Previous Monthly Low	1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2443
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2424
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2397
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2354
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2315
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2478
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2517
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.256

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

AUD/USD gains traction near 0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD finds fresh buyers and retakes 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold bounces but not out of the woods yet

Gold is facing fresh sellers above $4,300 early Thursday, stalling its recovery from six-week lows of $4,235 reached soon after hawkish US Federal Reserve monetary policy announcements.

XRP and XLM rebound amid mixed signals

Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) extend their recovery at the time of writing on Thursday after finding support at key technical levels. However, mixed derivatives and on-chain data for both altcoins suggest that traders remain cautious and have yet to show strong conviction in a sustained rebound. Derivatives data shows a mixed and cautious outlook among traders.

BoE expected to hold interest rate at 3.75

The Bank of England (BoE) is set to reveal its latest monetary policy decision on Thursday, coinciding with its sixth rate-setting meeting of 2026. Market analysts expect the central bank to keep its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.75%, which should be its sixth hold in a row following December’s 25-bps rate cut.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.